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Allsvenskan

Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson

Malmo FF

S T U S S

2–3

Full-time

Sirius

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,7

3,0

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 9

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 5. · Sirius 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.8	10
2	Sirius	3	3	0	0	+8	+5.1	9
3	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.8	8
4	Hammarby	4	2	1	1	+8	+2.9	7
5	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+3	–	7
6	AIK	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.4	7
7	Djurgarden	4	2	0	2	+0	–	6
8	Vasteras SK	4	1	2	1	-2	-4.2	5
9	Brommapojkarna	4	1	2	1	-2	+0.2	5
10	Orgryte	4	1	1	2	-6	-3.7	4
11	Degerfors	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.1	3
12	Mjallby	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
13	Halmstad	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.4	2
14	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.9	1
15	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-3	–	0
16	GAIS	3	0	0	3	-4	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	2	1	0	+10	+2.9	7
2	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.3	6
3	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.4	6
4	AIK	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
5	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
6	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
7	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.4	3
8	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
9	Vasteras SK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
10	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
11	Orgryte	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.0	1
12	Halmstad	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.4	1
13	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.5	0
16	Degerfors	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.5	4
2	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
3	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
4	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.2	4
5	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
6	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.8	3
7	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
8	Vasteras SK	2	1	0	1	-2	-3.3	3
9	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-5	-3.6	3
10	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Halmstad	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
12	Goteborg	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.4	1
13	Kalmar	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0
14	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
15	GAIS	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
16	Mjallby	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.