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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Aganovic
Kalmar
S S T U T
1–2
Full-time
Sirius
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kalmar 12. · Sirius 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +6 +2.3 6
2 Mjallby 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.5 6
3 Brommapojkarna 2 1 1 0 +4 +0.4 4
4 AIK 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.4 4
5 Elfsborg 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.3 4
6 Djurgarden 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.2 3
7 Sirius 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.0 3
8 Hammarby 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.0 3
9 Halmstad 2 1 0 1 -2 -2.0 3
10 Varnamo 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.3 1
11 Hacken 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.5 0
12 Kalmar 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.0 0
13 Vasteras SK 2 0 0 2 -2 +0.4 0
14 Goteborg 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.2 0
15 GAIS 1 0 0 1 -4 -0.4 0
16 Norrkoping 2 0 0 2 -7 -2.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kalmar Sirius
Lars Saetra 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Dennis Widgren
62′
🔁 H. Sjögrell
↦ N. Milleskog
62′
🔁 A. Ljungberg
↦ J. Persson
1–0 J. Trenskow
J. Ring
72′
A. Magashy 🔁
↦ J. Ring
78′
80′
🔁 M. Lindberg
↦ D. Stensson
80′
🔁 André Al Sanati
↦ M. Heier
D. Islamović 🔁
↦ S. Skrabb
84′
R. Jansson 🔁
↦ A. Gersbach
84′
85′
Y. Salech 1–1
95′
Y. Salech 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kalmar

4-3-3
1 S. Brolin G
26 A. Motaraghebjafarpour D
39 L. Sætra D
6 R. Sjöstedt D
3 A. Gersbach D
5 M. Hallberg M
23 R. Gojani M
29 Romário M
20 J. Trenskow F
10 S. Skrabb F
11 J. Ring F
Bench (9)
21 A. Magashy
9 D. Islamović
25 R. Jansson
27 A. Davoudi-Kia
12 L. Isa
24 W. Andersson
30 J. Kindberg
18 G. Arvidsson
16 William Anderson

Coach: H. Jensen

Sirius

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov Nilsson G
13 J. Voelkerling Persson D
4 H. Castegren D
31 M. Jeng D
21 D. Widgren D
8 D. Stensson M
14 L. Walta M
19 N. Milleskog M
10 M. Heier M
7 J. Persson M
9 Y. Salech F
Bench (9)
16 H. Sjögrell
36 A. Ljungberg
17 M. Lindberg
22 André Al Sanati
6 M. Martin
30 J. Tånnander
20 V. Ekström
2 P. Nwadike
18 A. Vikman

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Aganovic · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.