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Svenska Cupen
Referee: A Ladebäck
Kalmar
T T S S T
1–1
Full-time
AIK
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kalmar 19. · AIK 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 4 3 1 0 +12 10
2 Brommapojkarna 4 3 1 0 +9 10
3 Halmstad 4 3 1 0 +6 10
4 Djurgarden 3 3 0 0 +11 9
5 Oster 4 3 0 1 +7 9
6 AIK 3 3 0 0 +6 9
7 Goteborg 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 Mjallby 3 3 0 0 +4 9
9 Varnamo 4 3 0 1 +3 9
10 Degerfors 4 2 2 0 +8 8
11 Norrkoping 3 2 1 0 +10 7
12 Sirius 3 2 1 0 +8 7
13 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +4 7
14 Elfsborg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
15 GAIS 4 2 1 1 +2 7
16 Varberg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
17 Trelleborg 4 2 1 1 +1 7
18 Hammarby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Kalmar 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Vasteras SK 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 +1 6
22 United Nordic 4 2 0 2 +0 6
23 Orebro SK 3 2 0 1 +0 6
24 Ostersunds FK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
25 Orgryte 4 2 0 2 -5 6
26 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 IFK Luleå 5 1 1 3 -16 4
28 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +10 3
29 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
30 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +4 3
31 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Skövde AIK 3 1 0 2 +2 3
33 Jönköpings BK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Karlshamn 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Helsingborg 4 1 0 3 +0 3
40 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Tyresö W 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 IK brage 3 0 3 0 +0 3
45 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Sundsvall 3 1 0 2 -1 3
47 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Jonsered 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Zenith 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Lund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Gefle IF 3 1 0 2 -2 3
52 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Lucksta 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Utsikten 3 1 0 2 -4 3
60 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
65 Franke 2 0 1 1 -5 1
66 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
67 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Jonkopings Sodra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kalmar AIK
M. Hallberg 🟨
25′
41′
Rui Modesto 0–1
Half-time 0–1
47′
🔁 T. Ayari
↦ M. Ellingsen
A. Magashy 🔁
↦ K. Jensen
59′
S. Skrabb 🟨
62′
1–1 J. Trenskow
66′
D. Islamović 🔁
↦ A. Lindahl
75′
93′
🔁 Ahmad Faqa
↦ O. Faraj
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kalmar

J. Kindberg
L. Sætra
A. Lindahl
A. Motaraghebjafarpour
R. Jansson
Romário
R. Gojani
M. Hallberg
S. Skrabb
K. Jensen
J. Trenskow
Bench (9)
A. Magashy
D. Islamović
A. Davoudi-Kia
C. Andersson
G. Arvidsson
L. Isa
W. Andersson
Z. Råvik
N. Kallmeby

Coach: H. Jensen

AIK

15 K. Nordfeldt
4 S. Papagiannopoulos
16 B. Hansen
17 M. Thychosen
12 A. Björnström
32 Rui Modesto
10 B. Celina
7 A. Salétros
M. Ellingsen
28 I. Pittas
9 O. Faraj
Bench (9)
45 T. Ayari
37 Ahmad Faqa
18 A. Ali
19 D. Beširović
34 E. Ring
8 I. Coulibaly
30 I. Diawara
24 Lamine Dabo
26 R. Bonde

Coach: H. Berg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Ladebäck · 90 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.