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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Hammarby

T S S S U

0–1

Full-time

Goteborg

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Goteborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 43%

54%

31%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

85%

46%

Both score Ø 46%

54%

38%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,30 xG 2,34

65% Possession 35%

16 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 9

5 Blocked shots 3

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 6. · Goteborg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	15	11	2	2	+28	+12.8	35
2	Djurgarden	14	10	1	3	+16	+0.7	31
3	Mjallby	15	9	2	4	+9	+1.0	29
4	Hacken	15	7	2	6	+1	-2.4	23
5	Elfsborg	15	7	1	7	+6	+2.6	22
6	Hammarby	13	7	1	5	+6	+1.7	22
7	GAIS	14	7	1	6	-3	-2.5	22
8	Sirius	14	5	3	6	+0	+3.5	18
9	Brommapojkarna	14	4	6	4	-4	+1.5	18
10	Halmstad	13	6	0	7	-6	-1.9	18
11	Varnamo	14	5	2	7	-3	-5.3	17
12	AIK	13	5	2	6	-5	+0.1	17
13	Goteborg	13	4	2	7	-8	-4.1	14
14	Kalmar	14	4	1	9	-11	-5.1	13
15	Vasteras SK	14	3	2	9	-6	+3.0	11
16	Norrkoping	14	3	2	9	-20	-5.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	7	7	0	0	+19	+5.5	21
2	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.7	20
3	Elfsborg	7	5	1	1	+13	+2.4	16
4	Djurgarden	8	5	1	2	+4	-2.1	16
5	GAIS	7	5	1	1	+4	+1.0	16
6	AIK	7	5	0	2	+9	+2.1	15
7	Hammarby	6	5	0	1	+9	+1.2	15
8	Hacken	8	4	1	3	+3	-1.7	13
9	Halmstad	6	4	0	2	+5	+2.0	12
10	Sirius	7	3	2	2	+5	+3.5	11
11	Vasteras SK	8	2	1	5	-5	+1.9	7
12	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-5	-3.6	7
13	Brommapojkarna	6	1	3	2	-7	-0.4	6
14	Norrkoping	6	2	0	4	-8	-3.2	6
15	Kalmar	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.4	4
16	Varnamo	7	1	1	5	-8	-2.5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	6	5	0	1	+12	+2.8	15
2	Malmo FF	8	4	2	2	+9	+7.3	14
3	Varnamo	7	4	1	2	+5	-2.8	13
4	Brommapojkarna	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.8	12
5	Hacken	7	3	1	3	-2	-0.7	10
6	Mjallby	6	3	0	3	+1	+0.4	9
7	Kalmar	7	3	0	4	-6	-3.7	9
8	Goteborg	7	2	1	4	-3	-0.5	7
9	Hammarby	7	2	1	4	-3	+0.5	7
10	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-5	-0.0	7
11	Elfsborg	8	2	0	6	-7	+0.2	6
12	GAIS	7	2	0	5	-7	-3.5	6
13	Halmstad	7	2	0	5	-11	-3.9	6
14	Norrkoping	8	1	2	5	-12	-2.3	5
15	Vasteras SK	6	1	1	4	-1	+1.1	4
16	AIK	6	0	2	4	-14	-2.0	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.