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Allsvenskan

Referee: Granit Maqedonci

Oster

T T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Elfsborg

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oster Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

14%

57%

Points per game

0,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

29%

43%

Both score Ø 29%

14%

43%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,94 xG 3,40

59% Possession 41%

5 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 9

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oster 15. · Elfsborg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	8	6	2	0	+7	+0.8	20
2	Hammarby	8	5	2	1	+11	+6.2	17
3	Mjallby	8	5	2	1	+10	-0.7	17
4	Elfsborg	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.7	13
5	Malmo FF	7	3	2	2	+1	+3.3	11
6	Degerfors	7	3	1	3	+1	+1.8	10
7	Norrkoping	8	3	1	4	+0	-2.7	10
8	Brommapojkarna	7	3	1	3	+0	+0.4	10
9	Hacken	8	3	1	4	-3	+1.0	10
10	Goteborg	7	3	1	3	-3	+1.2	10
11	Halmstad	8	3	1	4	-7	-6.1	10
12	Sirius	8	2	3	3	-2	-4.3	9
13	GAIS	8	1	5	2	-1	-1.0	8
14	Djurgarden	6	2	2	2	-1	+2.1	8
15	Oster	7	1	0	6	-7	-2.7	3
16	Varnamo	8	0	1	7	-9	-1.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	3	1	0	+8	+4.9	10
2	Mjallby	4	3	1	0	+6	+1.9	10
3	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.2	10
4	AIK	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.4	10
5	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+2	+4.2	7
6	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
7	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-4	-2.7	6
8	GAIS	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
9	Djurgarden	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.0	5
10	Goteborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.2	4
11	Degerfors	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
12	Hacken	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.3	4
13	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.4	4
14	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
15	Oster	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.2	3
16	Varnamo	4	0	0	4	-5	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.6	10
2	Mjallby	4	2	1	1	+4	-2.6	7
3	Hammarby	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.3	7
4	Brommapojkarna	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.0	7
5	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.5	6
6	Hacken	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.3	6
7	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	-3	-2.1	6
8	Sirius	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.9	5
9	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.9	4
10	Malmo FF	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.0	4
11	Halmstad	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.5	4
12	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
14	GAIS	4	0	3	1	-2	-1.2	3
15	Varnamo	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.0	1
16	Oster	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.