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Super League
Referee: A Treimanis
Panathinaikos
T S S T S
0–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 61%
52%
70%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
39%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
55%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 2. · Olympiakos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 33 23 6 4 +35 75
2 Panathinaikos 33 17 9 7 +9 60
3 AEK 33 17 6 10 +25 57
4 PAOK 33 17 5 11 +23 56
5 Aris Thessalonikis 32 16 8 8 +10 56
6 Aris 32 16 8 8 +10 56
7 Asteras Tripolis 36 14 6 16 -8 48
8 Levadeiakos 35 12 11 12 +7 47
9 Atromitos 36 12 9 15 +0 45
10 OFI Crete 36 12 9 15 -6 45
11 Panetolikos 35 11 9 15 -6 42
12 Volos NFC 35 11 7 17 -15 40
13 Panserraikos 35 10 6 19 -21 36
14 Athens Kallithea 35 6 11 18 -24 29
15 Lamia 35 4 8 23 -39 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Olympiakos
Nemanja Maksimović 🟨
-5′
Erik Palmer-Brown 🟨
36′
45′
🟨 Dani García
Half-time 0–0
59′
ℹ️ Roman Yaremchuk
VAR: Penalty confirmed
60′
A. El Kaabi 0–1
Filip Mladenović 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 Rodinei
↦ L. Palma
62′
🔁 S. Hezze
↦ Dani García
62′
🔁 B. Onyemaechi
↦ F. Ortega
A. Jeremejeff 🔁
↦ D. Limnios
68′
G. Kotsiras 🔁
↦ G. Vagiannidis
78′
H. Magnússon 🔁
↦ E. Palmer-Brown
78′
Zeca 🔁
↦ N. Maksimović
78′
81′
🟨 Roman Yaremchuk
86′
🔁 A. Papakanellos
↦ R. Yaremchuk
86′
🔁 M. Stamenić
↦ Chiquinho
91′
🟨 Giulian Biancone
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
69 B. Drągowski G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
15 S. Ingason D
25 F. Mladenović D
8 A. Ounahi M
16 A. Gnezda Čerin M
20 N. Maksimović M
10 Tetê F
19 K. Świderski F
18 D. Limnios F
Bench (9)
29 A. Jeremejeff
27 G. Kotsiras
23 H. Magnússon
6 Zeca
24 M. Siopis
17 D. Mancini
11 T. Bakasetas
55 Willian Arão
1 Y. Lodygin

Coach: Rui Vitória

Olympiakos

4-4-2
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
4 G. Biancone D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
22 Chiquinho M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
14 Dani García M
50 L. Palma M
9 A. El Kaabi F
17 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (9)
23 Rodinei
32 S. Hezze
70 B. Onyemaechi
64 A. Papakanellos
8 M. Stamenić
10 Gelson Martins
1 A. Paschalakis
45 P. Retsos
11 K. Velde

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U
3,15
B ✓
2,98
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Treimanis · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.