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Allsvenskan
Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson
Hammarby
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Djurgarden
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
3,0
0,5
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,83 xG 0,65
65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 1. · Djurgarden 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hammarby 2 2 0 0 +6 +3.7 6
2 Degerfors 2 2 0 0 +6 +3.3 6
3 AIK 2 2 0 0 +2 -0.9 6
4 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.4 6
5 Mjallby 3 1 2 0 +3 +0.7 5
6 Elfsborg 3 1 1 1 +1 +2.2 4
7 Oster 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.9 3
8 Sirius 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.2 3
9 Djurgarden 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.2 3
10 Norrkoping 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.5 3
11 Hacken 3 1 0 2 -3 -1.2 3
12 Goteborg 2 1 0 1 -3 -0.4 3
13 GAIS 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.5 1
14 Varnamo 2 0 0 2 -2 +0.8 0
15 Brommapojkarna 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.3 0
16 Halmstad 2 0 0 2 -6 -6.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Djurgarden
29′
🟨 Zakaria Sawo
1–0 J. Erabi
P. Abraham
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Zugelj
↦ T. Gulliksen
Markus Karlsson 🟨
56′
60′
🔁 D. Stensson
↦ A. Ekdal
60′
🔁 S. Haarala
↦ O. Fallenius
65′
🔁 A. Priske
↦ Z. Sawo
A. Boudah 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
69′
2–0 A. Boudah
J. Erabi
83′
84′
🔁 M. Tenho
↦ K. Kosugi
S. Strand 🔁
↦ S. Tounekti
85′
87′
🟨 Daniel Stensson
96′
🟨 Santeri Haarala
Shaquille Pinas 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 August Priske
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ T. Tekie
97′
I. Fofana 🔁
↦ J. Erabi
97′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
4 V. Eriksson D
6 P. Vagic D
19 S. Pinas D
8 M. Karlsson M
5 T. Tekie M
20 N. Besara M
7 P. Abraham F
9 J. Erabi F
18 S. Tounekti F
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
13 J. Karlsson
17 I. Fofana
21 S. Strand
22 J. Ortmark
23 A. Boudah
26 M. Madjed
29 M. Kabore
34 W. Lindberg

Coach: Kim Alexander Hellberg

Djurgarden

4-3-3
45 F. Manojlovic G
18 A. Stahl D
4 J. Une-Larsson D
3 M. Danielson D
27 K. Kosugi D
8 A. Ekdal M
20 M. Siltanen M
7 T. Gulliksen M
15 O. Fallenius F
10 T. Nguen F
11 Z. Sawo F
Bench (9)
35 J. Rinne
5 M. Tenho
9 A. Priske
12 T. Bergvall
13 D. Stensson
19 V. Bergh
23 N. Zugelj
29 S. Haarala
36 A. Atlee

Coach: Jani Honkavaara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kristoffer Karlsson · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.