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Eliteserien
Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug
Sandefjord
T S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Valerenga
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 47%
60%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,82 xG 0,51
59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sandefjord 7. · Valerenga 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brann 7 5 1 1 +4 +6.1 16
2 Rosenborg 7 4 3 0 +7 +5.9 15
3 Viking 7 4 2 1 +9 +8.7 14
4 Bodo/Glimt 4 3 1 0 +7 +5.5 10
5 Fredrikstad 5 3 1 1 +6 -3.0 10
6 Kristiansund 7 3 1 3 -2 -0.7 10
7 Sandefjord 5 3 0 2 +2 +0.3 9
8 Sarpsborg 08 5 2 2 1 +3 +2.1 8
9 Valerenga 6 2 1 3 -2 -0.8 7
10 Stromsgodset 6 2 0 4 +2 -2.7 6
11 Molde 5 1 2 2 -4 +0.5 5
12 Tromso 5 1 1 3 -3 +0.4 4
13 KFUM Oslo 5 1 1 3 -5 -3.0 4
14 Ham-Kam 5 1 1 3 -7 -4.3 4
15 Bryne 5 1 0 4 -4 -0.2 3
16 Haugesund 6 0 1 5 -13 -14.8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Valerenga
21′
🟨 Magnus Riisnaes
1–0 S. I. Sigurdarson
J. Dunsby
34′
40′
F. Ambina 1–1
Half-time 1–1
60′
🔁 V. Hedenstad
↦ H. Sjatil
60′
🔁 E. Hagen
↦ E. Sorensen
63′
🟨 Magnus Riisnaes
63′
🟥 Magnus Riisnaes
71′
🔁 C. Borchgrevink
↦ M. Brajanac
71′
🔁 S. Jarl
↦ P. Strand
E. Jemal 🔁
↦ J. Dunsby
75′
2–1 M. Melchior
C. Cheng
77′
79′
🔁 M. Rijks
↦ A. Olsen
Evangelos Patoulidis 🟨
81′
83′
🟨 Kevin Tshiembe
S. Mork 🔁
↦ M. Melchior
83′
R. Dzabic 🔁
↦ L. Mettler
83′
A. van der Spa 🔁
↦ M. Gjone
89′
D. Tibell 🔁
↦ E. Patoulidis
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-1-4-1
30 E. Hadaya G
26 F. Loftesnes-Bjune D
22 M. Gjone
47 S. Kristiansen D
17 C. Cheng D
18 F. Ottosson M
7 E. Patoulidis M
20 M. Melchior M
10 L. Mettler
27 J. Dunsby
23 S. I. Sigurdarson F
Bench (9)
1 A. Gronneberg
3 V. Egeli
4 F. Pedersen
5 A. van der Spa
6 S. Mork
8 R. Dzabic
11 D. Tibell
28 T. Agelin
43 E. Jemal

Coach: Andreas Ulrik Tegström

Valerenga

4-4-2
21 M. Sjoeng G
3 H. Sjatil D
4 A. Olsen
5 K. Tshiembe D
27 Vinicius Nogueira D
7 M. Riisnaes M
29 F. Ambina M
10 C. Lange M
11 E. Sorensen M
24 P. Strand F
80 M. Brajanac F
Bench (9)
1 J. Storevik
2 C. Borchgrevink
6 V. Hedenstad
9 M. Rijks
14 O. Obasi
15 E. Hagen
22 S. Sjovold
23 N. Pallas
55 S. Jarl

Coach: Geir Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mathias Stofringshaug · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.