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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Gent
S T T T T
0–3
Full-time
Antwerp
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
52%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
41%
62%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,41 xG 1,03
48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 7. · Antwerp 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 28 18 7 3 +31 +26.9 61
2 Club Brugge 27 18 6 3 +37 +36.3 60
3 Genk 27 17 4 6 +19 +17.4 55
4 Anderlecht 28 15 6 7 +27 +7.7 51
5 Antwerp 26 11 10 5 +14 -2.5 43
6 Charleroi 27 11 8 8 +7 +7.1 41
7 Gent 27 9 8 10 -6 -12.6 35
8 Dender 27 8 9 10 -11 -13.8 33
9 Cercle Brugge 30 8 9 13 -19 -1.6 33
10 Westerlo 28 8 8 12 -1 +0.4 32
11 Standard 28 7 10 11 -15 -12.5 31
12 Mechelen 28 7 9 12 -5 +4.1 30
13 St Truiden 30 7 8 15 -23 -6.5 29
14 Kortrijk 30 8 4 18 -23 -17.2 28
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 4 14 9 -7 -6.7 26
16 Beerschot VA 30 4 8 18 -25 -26.4 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Antwerp
18′
🟨 Olivier Deman
34′
T. Chery 0–1
M. Balikwisha
42′
T. Chery 0–2
M. Bayo
Half-time 0–2
48′
🟨 Mahamadou Doumbia
Archie Brown 🟨
52′
Matisse Samoise 🟨
57′
A. Ito 🔁
↦ A. Omgba
58′
H. Goore 🔁
↦ O. Gandelman
58′
59′
G. Kerk 0–3
M. Balikwisha
Noah Fadiga 🟥
64′
Noah Fadiga ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
64′
71′
🔁 K. Corbanie
↦ J. Riedewald
M. Sonko 🔁
↦ D. Vanzeir
73′
76′
🔁 C. Scott
↦ S. Renders
76′
🔁 A. Verstraeten
↦ D. Praet
G. De Meyer 🔁
↦ Tiago Araújo
84′
T. De Vlieger 🔁
↦ M. Delorge
84′
89′
🔁 K. Young
↦ G. Kerk
89′
🔁 M. Benítez
↦ M. Doumbia
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
32 T. Vandenberghe G
18 M. Samoise D
2 S. Kotto D
3 A. Brown D
22 N. Fadiga M
5 Leonardo Lopes M
16 M. Delorge M
20 Tiago Araújo M
10 A. Omgba F
14 D. Vanzeir F
6 O. Gandelman F
Bench (9)
15 A. Ito
45 H. Goore
11 M. Sonko
35 G. De Meyer
27 T. De Vlieger
13 S. Mitrović
30 C. De Schrevel
24 S. Kums
9 A. Guðjohnsen

Coach: D. Miličević

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
91 S. Lammens G
54 S. Renders D
33 Z. Van den Bosch D
4 J. Riedewald D
5 O. Deman D
20 M. Doumbia M
8 D. Praet M
9 T. Chery M
10 M. Balikwisha M
7 G. Kerk M
27 M. Bayo F
Bench (9)
2 K. Corbanie
30 C. Scott
75 A. Verstraeten
11 K. Young
16 M. Benítez
15 Y. Thoelen
26 R. Bozhinov
46 M. Smits
81 N. Devalckeneer

Coach: A. Ulderink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,56
U
3,52
B ✓
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,19
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.