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Allsvenskan
Referee: K Sjöberg
Norrkoping
U S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Varnamo
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Varnamo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 15
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norrkoping 5. · Varnamo 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kalmar 3 2 0 1 +3 6
2 Hacken 3 2 0 1 +2 6
3 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Elfsborg 3 1 1 1 +3 4
5 Norrkoping 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Djurgarden 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Mjallby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Hammarby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Degerfors 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Varnamo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Halmstad 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Varberg 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Sirius 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Goteborg 2 0 0 2 -3 0
15 AIK 2 0 0 2 -4 0
16 Brommapojkarna 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norrkoping Varnamo
1–0 A. Sigurðsson
15′
27′
🟨 Victor Larsson
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Sigurðsson
M. Baggesen
47′
48′
M. Lund 3–0
own goal
K. Khazeni 🔁
↦ V. Lind
61′
66′
🔁 M. Bustos
↦ A. Zeljkovic
J. Ortmark 🔁
↦ A. Traustason
68′
74′
🔁 H. Näsström
↦ V. Bergh
A. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ L. Shabani
76′
Y. Kalley 🔁
↦ M. Baggesen
76′
85′
🔁 J. Dickman
↦ Netinho
85′
🔁 K. Bilalovic
↦ S. Thern
Jacob Ortmark 🟨
92′
Marco Lund 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Wenderson
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Norrkoping

4-3-3
1 O. Jansson G
20 D. Eid D
4 M. Lund D
24 A. Eriksson D
3 M. Baggesen D
19 V. Lind M
21 J. Ceesay M
9 A. Traustason M
17 L. Shabani F
5 C. Nyman F
8 A. Sigurðsson F
Bench (9)
26 K. Khazeni
7 J. Ortmark
22 A. Guðjohnsen
14 Y. Kalley
32 W. Jakobsson
2 N. Gunnarsson
37 K. Peprah Oppong
45 E. Roback
34 T. Sandberg

Coach: G. Riddersholm

Varnamo

4-3-3
30 P. Vaitsiakhovich G
5 V. Larsson D
25 V. Eriksson D
24 E. Grozdanic D
3 V. Bergh D
9 O. Johansson M
18 Wenderson M
22 S. Thern M
4 Netinho F
10 A. Zeljkovic F
14 G. Engvall F
Bench (9)
19 M. Bustos
6 H. Näsström
17 J. Dickman
32 K. Bilalovic
16 A. Lohikangas
11 E. Bećirović
7 C. Vindehall
21 W. Kenndal
1 J. Rasheed

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Sjöberg · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.