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Allsvenskan
Elfsborg
S T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Orebro
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Orebro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
22%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 31%
40%
22%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,6
Conceded
1,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 5. · Orebro 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 11 7 2 2 +8 23
2 Djurgarden 9 6 2 1 +10 20
3 Norrkoping 10 5 2 3 +5 17
4 AIK 10 5 2 3 +2 17
5 Elfsborg 10 5 1 4 +2 16
6 Hammarby 10 4 3 3 +5 15
7 Kalmar 9 3 5 1 +1 14
8 Degerfors 10 4 2 4 +0 14
9 Sirius 10 3 3 4 -7 12
10 Halmstad 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Mjallby 10 2 4 4 -3 10
12 Goteborg 9 1 6 2 +0 9
13 Hacken 9 2 3 4 -1 9
14 Ostersunds 9 2 2 5 +1 8
15 Varberg 10 2 2 6 -8 8
16 Orebro 9 2 1 6 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.