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Allsvenskan
Elfsborg
S S S S U
3–0
Full-time
Degerfors
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
54%
31%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 4. · Degerfors 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 14 9 3 2 +15 30
2 Djurgarden 14 9 3 2 +13 30
3 AIK 14 8 3 3 +8 27
4 Elfsborg 13 7 2 4 +6 23
5 Hammarby 13 6 4 3 +8 22
6 Norrkoping 13 6 2 5 +4 20
7 Hacken 14 5 4 5 +5 19
8 Kalmar 13 4 5 4 -2 17
9 Halmstad 14 3 7 4 -1 16
10 Goteborg 13 3 6 4 -1 15
11 Degerfors 13 4 3 6 -7 15
12 Sirius 13 4 3 6 -10 15
13 Varberg 13 3 4 6 -6 13
14 Orebro 14 3 3 8 -16 12
15 Mjallby 14 2 5 7 -7 11
16 Ostersunds 14 2 3 9 -9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.