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Allsvenskan
Hammarby
U T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Norrkoping
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 45%
45%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
55%
36%
Both score Ø 59%
73%
45%
Average goals
3,4
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 5. · Norrkoping 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 13 9 2 2 +15 29
2 Djurgarden 12 8 3 1 +15 27
3 Elfsborg 12 7 1 4 +6 22
4 AIK 11 6 2 3 +4 20
5 Hammarby 11 5 3 3 +7 18
6 Norrkoping 11 5 2 4 +4 17
7 Goteborg 11 3 6 2 +2 15
8 Hacken 11 4 3 4 +1 15
9 Sirius 12 4 3 5 -9 15
10 Kalmar 12 3 5 4 -3 14
11 Degerfors 12 4 2 6 -7 14
12 Halmstad 11 2 6 3 -1 12
13 Mjallby 12 2 4 6 -6 10
14 Varberg 11 2 3 6 -8 9
15 Ostersunds 11 2 2 7 -3 8
16 Orebro 11 2 1 8 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.