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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Servette

U T U S U

1–3

Full-time

Thun

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

4,2

Scored

1,8

2,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 50%

27%

73%

Points per game

1,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

68%

77%

Both score Ø 73%

73%

Average goals

3,7

3,4

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,68 xG 1,18

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Servette 8. · Thun 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	22	16	1	5	+22	+0.3	49
2	Lugano	23	12	5	6	+11	+1.2	41
3	St. Gallen	21	12	2	7	+14	+3.8	38
4	Basel	22	10	6	6	+8	+12.2	36
5	Sion	23	8	10	5	+6	+4.2	34
6	Young Boys	23	9	6	8	-2	-0.7	33
7	Lausanne	22	7	7	8	+2	+5.5	28
8	Servette	22	6	7	9	-5	+3.3	25
9	Zurich	22	7	4	11	-11	+2.6	25
10	Luzern	23	5	9	9	-3	-4.6	24
11	Grasshoppers	23	4	8	11	-11	-13.6	20
12	Winterthur	22	3	5	14	-31	-14.1	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	11	7	2	2	+11	+2.2	23
2	Thun	11	7	1	3	+10	-1.0	22
3	Young Boys	11	6	2	3	+9	+6.5	20
4	Sion	12	5	4	3	+6	+1.1	19
5	St. Gallen	11	6	0	5	+7	+5.4	18
6	Basel	11	4	4	3	+6	+15.0	16
7	Lausanne	11	4	3	4	+3	+8.0	15
8	Zurich	11	4	1	6	-4	+5.0	13
9	Grasshoppers	12	2	5	5	-1	-4.8	11
10	Servette	11	2	5	4	-3	+0.8	11
11	Winterthur	11	2	3	6	-7	-2.3	9
12	Luzern	11	1	5	5	-2	+1.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	11	9	0	2	+12	+1.3	27
2	St. Gallen	10	6	2	2	+7	-1.6	20
3	Basel	11	6	2	3	+2	-2.8	20
4	Lugano	12	5	3	4	+0	-1.0	18
5	Luzern	12	4	4	4	-1	-6.4	16
6	Sion	11	3	6	2	+0	+3.1	15
7	Servette	11	4	2	5	-2	+2.5	14
8	Lausanne	11	3	4	4	-1	-2.6	13
9	Young Boys	12	3	4	5	-11	-7.2	13
10	Zurich	11	3	3	5	-7	-2.4	12
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	3	6	-10	-8.8	9
12	Winterthur	11	1	2	8	-24	-11.8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.