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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Brest
T U T T S
0–0
Full-time
Reims
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,2
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
44%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
60%
52%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,36 xG 1,16
72% Possession 28%
11 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brest 9. · Reims 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 20 5 0 +46 +42.8 65
2 Marseille 25 15 4 6 +22 +13.9 49
3 Monaco 26 14 5 7 +19 +31.0 47
4 Nice 26 13 8 5 +19 +17.3 47
5 Lyon 26 13 6 7 +17 +7.1 45
6 Lille 26 12 8 6 +12 +7.7 44
7 Strasbourg 25 11 7 7 +7 -6.0 40
8 Lens 26 11 6 9 +2 +4.8 39
9 Brest 25 11 3 11 -2 -5.8 36
10 Toulouse 25 9 7 9 +5 +9.8 34
11 Auxerre 26 8 8 10 -2 -10.9 32
12 Rennes 26 9 2 15 -2 +0.4 29
13 Nantes 26 6 9 11 -14 -10.9 27
14 Angers 26 7 6 13 -16 -14.3 27
15 Reims 25 5 7 13 -14 -17.2 22
16 Le Havre 26 6 3 17 -29 -18.7 21
17 St Etienne 25 5 5 15 -32 -31.0 20
18 Montpellier 25 4 3 18 -38 -19.9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brest Reims
3′
🟨 Keito Nakamura
19′
🟨 Valentin Atangana Edoa
Half-time 0–0
K. Doumbia 🔁
↦ H. Magnetti
61′
64′
🔁 J. Ito
↦ M. Diakhon
69′
🔁 J. Patrick
↦ Amadou Koné
70′
🔁 O. Diakité
↦ H. Ibrahim
Kamory Doumbia 🟨
76′
H. Makalou 🔁
↦ R. Faivre
77′
E. Fernandes 🔁
↦ M. Camara
77′
85′
🟨 Hiroki Sekine
S. Diop 🔁
↦ Mathias Pereira Lage
88′
Massadio Haïdara 🟥
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Brest

4-3-3
40 M. Bizot G
7 K. Lala D
25 J. Le Cardinal D
3 A. Ndiaye D
22 M. Haïdara D
45 M. Camara M
20 P. Lees-Melou M
8 H. Magnetti M
21 R. Faivre F
19 L. Ajorque F
26 Mathias Pereira Lage F
Bench (9)
9 K. Doumbia
33 H. Makalou
6 E. Fernandes
35 S. Diop
30 G. Coudert
23 J. Amavi
18 J. Bourgault
28 J. Martin
12 L. Zogbé

Coach: E. Roy

Reims

4-5-1
94 Y. Diouf G
3 H. Sekine D
2 J. Okumu D
21 C. Kipré D
18 Sergio Akieme D
67 M. Diakhon M
6 V. Atangana Edoa M
24 M. Gbane M
72 Amadou Koné M
17 K. Nakamura M
85 H. Ibrahim F
Bench (9)
7 J. Ito
30 J. Patrick
22 O. Diakité
16 L. Butelle
55 N. Sangui
31 M. Jeng
23 Aurélio Buta
87 A. Tia
73 I. Orazi

Coach: S. Diawara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
U ✓
3,87
B
4,96
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.