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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

Sonderjyske

S T T T U

0–3

Full-time

Aalborg

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Aalborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

2,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 19%

19%

Points per game

0,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

67%

62%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

3,5

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

2 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sonderjyske 10. · Aalborg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	21	13	3	5	+13	+4.5	42
2	FC Copenhagen	21	11	8	2	+15	+11.7	41
3	Aarhus	21	9	9	3	+20	+9.8	36
4	Randers FC	21	9	8	4	+13	+10.6	35
5	Nordsjaelland	21	10	5	6	+4	+7.1	35
6	Brondby	21	8	8	5	+10	+6.7	32
7	Silkeborg	21	8	8	5	+9	+4.0	32
8	Viborg	21	6	7	8	-2	-8.1	25
9	Aalborg	21	4	6	11	-21	-17.9	18
10	Sonderjyske	21	4	5	12	-22	-14.4	17
11	Lyngby	21	2	9	10	-12	-6.0	15
12	Vejle	21	2	4	15	-27	-8.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	9	0	1	+9	+4.1	27
2	Nordsjaelland	11	7	4	0	+12	+5.9	25
3	FC Copenhagen	11	7	4	0	+11	+8.6	25
4	Aarhus	11	6	5	0	+16	+8.2	23
5	Brondby	10	5	4	1	+8	+4.4	19
6	Randers FC	11	5	3	3	+7	+7.2	18
7	Viborg	10	5	2	3	+2	-4.5	17
8	Silkeborg	11	4	4	3	+2	+1.4	16
9	Aalborg	11	3	3	5	-9	-8.5	12
10	Sonderjyske	10	2	3	5	-11	-7.8	9
11	Lyngby	10	1	5	4	-6	-0.6	8
12	Vejle	10	1	3	6	-11	-0.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	10	4	5	1	+6	+3.4	17
2	Silkeborg	10	4	4	2	+7	+2.6	16
3	FC Copenhagen	10	4	4	2	+4	+3.2	16
4	Midtjylland	11	4	3	4	+4	+0.3	15
5	Aarhus	10	3	4	3	+4	+1.7	13
6	Brondby	11	3	4	4	+2	+2.3	13
7	Nordsjaelland	10	3	1	6	-8	+1.1	10
8	Viborg	11	1	5	5	-4	-3.6	8
9	Sonderjyske	11	2	2	7	-11	-6.6	8
10	Lyngby	11	1	4	6	-6	-5.4	7
11	Aalborg	10	1	3	6	-12	-9.5	6
12	Vejle	11	1	1	9	-16	-7.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.