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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
Hartberg
T U T T U
1–3
Full-time
Sturm Graz
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
36%
60%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
64%
40%
Both score Ø 48%
52%
44%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 6. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 26 17 6 3 +36 57
2 Sturm Graz 25 15 7 3 +26 52
3 LASK 26 11 9 6 +10 42
4 Austria Vienna 26 10 9 7 +4 39
5 SK Rapid 25 9 11 5 +20 38
6 Hartberg 25 9 8 8 -2 35
7 A. Klagenfurt 25 8 11 6 -3 35
8 Wolfsberger AC 26 8 9 9 -4 33
9 Altach 26 5 10 11 -12 25
10 BW Linz 26 4 10 12 -17 22
11 Tirol 26 6 4 16 -20 22
12 A. Lustenau 26 2 6 18 -38 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Mar -24 Hartberg – Sturm Graz 1–1 21. Oct -23 Sturm Graz – Hartberg 2–1 18. Feb -23 Hartberg – Sturm Graz 1–2 3. Sep -22 Sturm Graz – Hartberg 0–0 27. Feb -22 Sturm Graz – Hartberg 3–0

Match report

Hartberg Sturm Graz
9′
⚽ A. Prass 0–1
T. Horvat
Half-time 0–1
Dominik Prokop 🟨
48′
63′
⚽ O. Kiteishvili 0–2
64′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ W. Bøving
R. Providence 🔁
↦ D. Prokop
69′
T. Kainz 🔁
↦ O. Diakité
69′
1–2 D. Avdijaj ⚽
J. Heil
73′
79′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ M. Biereth
79′
🔁 D. Schnegg
↦ T. Horvat
M. Fillafer 🔁
↦ M. Sangaré
82′
D. Kovacevic 🔁
↦ D. Frieser
82′
90′
⚽ J. Gorenc Stankovič 1–3
O. Kiteishvili
91′
🔁 S. Hierländer
↦ O. Kiteishvili
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Sallinger G
28 J. Heil D
14 P. Komposch D
5 I. Bowat D
20 M. Pfeifer D
32 O. Diakité M
45 M. Sangaré M
33 D. Frieser M
27 D. Prokop M
10 D. Avdijaj M
11 M. Entrup F
Bench (7)
70 R. Providence
23 T. Kainz
37 M. Fillafer
95 D. Kovacevic
25 J. Halwachs
12 M. Steinwender
39 T. Knoflach

Coach: M. Schopp

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
16 V. Jaroš G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
15 W. Bøving F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (7)
20 S. Jatta
36 A. Camara
28 D. Schnegg
25 S. Hierländer
35 N. Geyrhofer
31 L. Marić
2 M. Johnston

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.