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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Silkeborg

T T T T S

2–2

Full-time

Aarhus

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Silkeborg Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 39%

36%

41%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

55%

32%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,09 xG 1,02

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

8 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Silkeborg 6. · Aarhus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	23	15	5	3	+25	+6.7	50
2	Midtjylland	23	15	3	5	+19	+13.2	48
3	FC Copenhagen	23	14	3	6	+21	+16.8	45
4	Nordsjaelland	23	11	7	5	+15	+4.9	40
5	Aarhus	22	9	9	4	+5	+3.7	36
6	Silkeborg	22	8	3	11	-4	+6.3	27
7	Randers FC	23	6	8	9	-10	-0.3	26
8	Viborg	23	7	5	11	-11	-5.2	26
9	Odense	22	6	6	10	-7	-6.0	24
10	Lyngby	23	6	5	12	-16	-5.8	23
11	Vejle	22	4	7	11	-7	-17.8	19
12	Hvidovre IF	23	2	5	16	-30	-16.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	12	8	2	2	+14	+9.1	26
2	Brondby	11	7	2	2	+13	+7.1	23
3	FC Copenhagen	12	7	1	4	+12	+12.8	22
4	Nordsjaelland	11	6	4	1	+11	+5.7	22
5	Viborg	12	6	3	3	+5	-1.2	21
6	Aarhus	11	5	3	3	+0	+3.0	18
7	Silkeborg	11	5	2	4	+3	+7.4	17
8	Lyngby	11	4	4	3	+3	+1.2	16
9	Randers FC	12	4	4	4	-2	+3.5	16
10	Vejle	11	3	3	5	+0	-4.7	12
11	Odense	11	0	3	8	-14	-1.9	3
12	Hvidovre IF	11	0	2	9	-19	-4.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	12	8	3	1	+12	-0.4	27
2	FC Copenhagen	11	7	2	2	+9	+4.0	23
3	Midtjylland	11	7	1	3	+5	+4.0	22
4	Odense	11	6	3	2	+7	-4.0	21
5	Aarhus	11	4	6	1	+5	+0.7	18
6	Nordsjaelland	12	5	3	4	+4	-0.7	18
7	Silkeborg	11	3	1	7	-7	-1.0	10
8	Randers FC	11	2	4	5	-8	-3.9	10
9	Hvidovre IF	12	2	3	7	-11	-11.7	9
10	Vejle	11	1	4	6	-7	-13.1	7
11	Lyngby	12	2	1	9	-19	-6.9	7
12	Viborg	11	1	2	8	-16	-4.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.