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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Gornik Zabrze
S U S T S
2–0
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 48%
44%
52%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
56%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,93 xG 2,13
44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 11
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 7. · Slask Wroclaw 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 28 15 7 6 +26 +13.1 52
2 Slask Wroclaw 27 14 8 5 +14 +4.8 50
3 Lech Poznan 28 13 9 6 +8 -4.3 48
4 Pogon Szczecin 28 14 5 9 +22 +12.9 47
5 Rakow 28 12 10 6 +19 +19.8 46
6 Legia 28 12 10 6 +10 +7.7 46
7 Gornik Zabrze 27 12 6 9 +4 -4.6 42
8 Widzew Lodz 28 11 6 11 +0 -3.6 39
9 Stal Mielec 28 10 8 10 -1 -10.2 38
10 Radomiak Radom 28 9 8 11 -9 -0.7 35
11 Zaglebie 27 9 8 10 -9 +3.9 35
12 Cracovia 28 6 14 8 -1 -1.4 32
13 Warta Poznan 28 7 10 11 -7 -7.7 31
14 Piast Gliwice 27 5 14 8 -6 +10.4 29
15 Puszcza 28 6 11 11 -12 -15.7 29
16 Korona Kielce 28 5 12 11 -8 -2.5 27
17 LKS Lodz 28 5 6 17 -32 -16.3 21
18 Ruch Chorzow 28 2 14 12 -18 -5.6 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Slask Wroclaw
Rafał Janicki 🟨
38′
1–0 K. Lukoszek
D. Rasak
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Konczkowski
↦ T. Guercio
64′
🔁 P. Schwarz
↦ A. Mustafić
64′
🔁 P. Samiec-Talar
↦ Ł. Bejger
S. Kozuki 🔁
↦ P. Krawczyk
72′
76′
🔁 M. Żukowski
↦ Y. Matsenko
77′
🔁 P. Janasik
↦ P. Olsen
81′
🟨 Peter Pokorný
S. Musiolik 🔁
↦ A. Kaprálik
83′
K. Triantafyllópoulos 🔁
↦ R. Janicki
83′
2–0 K. Lukoszek
L. Ennali
85′
P. Olkowski 🔁
↦ K. Lukoszek
87′
94′
🟨 Matías Nahuel
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-4-2
1 D. Bielica G
2 B. Sekulić D
5 K. Szcześniak D
26 R. Janicki D
64 E. Janža D
17 K. Lukoszek M
6 D. Rasak M
55 S. Czyż M
11 L. Ennali M
7 A. Kaprálik F
21 P. Krawczyk F
Bench (8)
41 S. Kozuki
9 S. Musiolik
13 K. Triantafyllópoulos
16 P. Olkowski
19 N. Barczak
25 M. Sipľak
32 M. Szromnik
23 Filipe Nascimento

Coach: J. Urban

Slask Wroclaw

3-4-1-2
12 R. Leszczyński G
4 Ł. Bejger D
87 S. Petrov D
5 A. Petkov D
78 T. Guercio M
20 A. Mustafić M
16 P. Pokorný M
33 Y. Matsenko
8 P. Olsen F
11 P. Klimala F
10 Nahuel Leiva F
Bench (9)
27 M. Konczkowski
17 P. Schwarz
24 P. Samiec-Talar
22 M. Żukowski
19 P. Janasik
35 K. Trelowski
2 A. Paluszek
29 J. Jezierski
21 P. Szwedzik

Coach: J. Magiera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.