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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Koløy
Valerenga
S T U S S
1–3
Full-time
Stabaek
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 4. · Stabaek 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levanger 2 1 1 0 +5 4
2 Aalesund 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Sogndal 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Valerenga 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Stabaek 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Ranheim 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Egersund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Bryne 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Kongsvinger 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Moss 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Asane 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Raufoss 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Mjondalen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Sandnes ULF 2 0 0 2 -3 0
15 Lyn 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Start 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Stabaek
6′
B. Diabaté 0–1
1–1 M. Rijks
41′
Half-time 1–2
60′
K. Pedersen 1–2
62′
K. Pedersen 1–3
C. Borchgrevink 🔁
↦ S. Juklerød
65′
O. Kamara 🔁
↦ M. Rijks
65′
M. Riisnæs 🔁
↦ H. Bjørdal
65′
68′
🔁 A. Andresen
↦ N. Walstad
68′
🔁 K. Kostadinov
↦ W. Wendt
F. Thorvaldsen 🔁
↦ D. Håkans
73′
V. Hedenstad 🟨
79′
81′
🔁 F. Riise
↦ O. Veum
81′
🔁 K. Opseth
↦ B. Diabaté
88′
🔁 C. Hegardt
↦ S. Olderheim
90′
🟨 S. Rossbach
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Valerenga

21 M. Sjøeng
6 V. Hedenstad
23 M. Kreuzriegler
18 S. Juklerød
4 A. Kiil Olsen
8 H. Bjørdal
24 P. Strand
15 E. Hagen
11 D. Håkans
29 F. Ambina
9 M. Rijks
Bench (9)
2 C. Borchgrevink
19 O. Kamara
7 M. Riisnæs
26 F. Thorvaldsen
1 J. Storevik
3 A. Hammer Kjelsen
5 N. Idumba
22 S. Sjøvold
25 J. El Abdellaoui

Coach: G. Bakke

Stabaek

1 S. Rossbach
4 N. Næss
2 K. Pedersen
15 O. Veum
11 N. Walstad
6 M. Christensen
14 T. Roberts
7 R. Vinge
27 W. Wendt
17 S. Olderheim
9 B. Diabaté
Bench (9)
20 A. Andresen
24 K. Kostadinov
19 F. Riise
22 K. Opseth
8 C. Hegardt
10 H. Geelmuyden
21 O. Spiten-Nysæter
23 M. Ulla
28 B. Tobiassen

Coach: B. Bradley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.