Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Premier League

Referee: C Kavanagh

Liverpool

T S S U T

0–1

Full-time

Crystal Palace

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Liverpool Crystal Palace

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,7

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 46%

68%

23%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

68%

55%

Both score Ø 68%

71%

65%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,81 xG 1,98

70% Possession 30%

21 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 1

2 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 3. · Crystal Palace 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	32	22	7	3	+44	+37.5	73
2	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	+51	+40.8	71
3	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	+42	+35.3	71
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	+17	+7.0	60
5	Tottenham	32	18	6	8	+16	+2.2	60
6	Newcastle	32	15	5	12	+17	+7.6	50
7	Man United	32	15	5	12	-1	-12.2	50
8	West Ham	32	13	9	10	-4	-12.6	48
9	Chelsea	30	12	8	10	+3	+12.7	44
10	Brighton	32	11	11	10	+2	+1.5	44
11	Wolves	32	12	7	13	-5	-10.8	43
12	Bournemouth	32	11	9	12	-10	-1.7	42
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	-4	-11.4	39
14	Everton	31	9	8	14	-10	+1.8	35
15	Brentford	33	8	8	17	-11	+3.1	32
16	Nott'm Forest	33	7	9	17	-16	-5.0	30
17	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	-18	-8.3	30
18	Luton	33	6	7	20	-24	-30.9	25
19	Burnley	33	4	8	21	-35	-25.0	20
20	Sheffield United	32	3	7	22	-54	-31.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Liverpool	16	13	3	0	+29	+30.8	42
2	Man City	17	12	5	0	+29	+22.4	41
3	Arsenal	15	12	2	1	+25	+23.1	38
4	Newcastle	17	11	3	3	+23	+19.4	36
5	Tottenham	16	12	0	4	+13	+7.7	36
6	Aston Villa	16	11	2	3	+18	+11.5	35
7	Fulham	16	9	1	6	+13	+3.0	28
8	Brighton	15	7	6	2	+9	+5.2	27
9	Man United	15	8	2	5	+1	-0.3	26
10	Chelsea	15	7	4	4	+4	+15.2	25
11	West Ham	16	6	7	3	+3	-3.1	25
12	Wolves	15	7	3	5	+0	-4.4	24
13	Bournemouth	17	6	6	5	-3	+2.5	24
14	Brentford	17	5	6	6	-3	+4.8	21
15	Nott'm Forest	17	5	5	7	+0	+1.9	20
16	Everton	15	4	4	7	-2	+9.4	16
17	Crystal Palace	15	4	4	7	-3	+1.8	16
18	Luton	16	4	3	9	-3	-3.1	15
19	Burnley	17	2	4	11	-20	-4.1	10
20	Sheffield United	16	2	4	10	-30	-12.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	16	10	3	3	+26	+17.7	33
2	Man City	15	10	2	3	+15	+15.2	32
3	Liverpool	15	8	5	2	+13	+4.6	29
4	Aston Villa	16	7	4	5	-1	-4.5	25
5	Tottenham	16	6	6	4	+3	-5.5	24
6	Man United	17	7	3	7	-2	-11.9	24
7	West Ham	16	7	2	7	-7	-9.5	23
8	Chelsea	15	5	4	6	-1	-2.4	19
9	Wolves	17	5	4	8	-5	-6.3	19
10	Everton	16	5	4	7	-8	-7.6	19
11	Bournemouth	15	5	3	7	-7	-4.3	18
12	Brighton	17	4	5	8	-7	-3.7	17
13	Newcastle	15	4	2	9	-6	-11.8	14
14	Crystal Palace	16	3	5	8	-15	-10.2	14
15	Brentford	16	3	2	11	-8	-1.7	11
16	Fulham	16	2	5	9	-17	-14.5	11
17	Burnley	16	2	4	10	-15	-20.9	10
18	Nott'm Forest	16	2	4	10	-16	-6.9	10
19	Luton	17	2	4	11	-21	-27.8	10
20	Sheffield United	16	1	3	12	-24	-19.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.