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LaLiga2

Referee: A de Ena Wolf

Ceuta

U U U S U

1–4

Full-time

Malaga

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches

Win Ø 44%

38%

49%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

56%

62%

Both score Ø 59%

56%

62%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,24 xG 1,16

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ceuta 12. · Malaga 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	39	23	6	10	+23	-1.2	75
2	Almeria	39	21	8	10	+20	+2.0	71
3	La Coruna	39	20	11	8	+19	+1.2	71
4	Malaga	39	19	9	11	+18	+6.3	66
5	Castellon	40	18	12	10	+17	+6.9	66
6	Las Palmas	39	18	12	9	+15	+0.7	66
7	Eibar	39	18	10	11	+12	+6.6	64
8	Burgos	39	17	12	10	+11	+5.3	63
9	Cordoba	40	17	9	14	-2	+6.7	60
10	Andorra	39	16	10	13	+12	+3.7	58
11	Albacete	40	15	11	14	+0	+2.0	56
12	Ceuta	39	15	10	14	-12	-15.4	55
13	Sp Gijon	39	15	7	17	+1	+1.9	52
14	Granada	39	12	12	15	-2	-1.9	48
15	Sociedad B	40	12	10	18	-7	-9.0	46
16	Valladolid	39	12	10	17	-7	+2.2	46
17	Leganes	39	10	12	17	-6	+3.1	42
18	Cadiz	40	10	10	20	-20	-6.7	40
19	Mirandes	40	9	10	21	-23	-5.7	37
20	Huesca	39	9	9	21	-21	-0.2	36
21	Zaragoza	39	8	11	20	-20	+2.9	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	39	8	9	22	-28	-11.5	33

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Almeria	19	14	2	3	+22	+7.1	44
2	Eibar	20	13	4	3	+18	+10.4	43
3	Malaga	20	12	6	2	+18	+5.3	42
4	Santander	19	13	2	4	+20	+3.7	41
5	Las Palmas	20	12	5	3	+19	+3.2	41
6	Castellon	20	12	4	4	+16	+1.2	40
7	Ceuta	19	11	4	4	+7	-0.6	37
8	Sp Gijon	20	10	6	4	+11	+3.0	36
9	Burgos	20	9	8	3	+12	+6.6	35
10	La Coruna	19	10	5	4	+9	+1.4	35
11	Cordoba	20	9	4	7	+0	+3.9	31
12	Andorra	20	8	6	6	+8	+4.6	30
13	Valladolid	20	8	5	7	+4	+4.0	29
14	Sociedad B	20	7	7	6	+2	-0.8	28
15	Huesca	20	7	7	6	+0	+1.4	28
16	Albacete	20	8	4	8	-4	-0.2	28
17	Granada	19	6	8	5	+5	+3.5	26
18	Leganes	19	6	5	8	-1	+7.6	23
19	Cadiz	20	6	2	12	-10	-1.9	20
20	Mirandes	20	5	5	10	-11	-1.6	20
21	Zaragoza	19	4	6	9	-9	+6.1	18
22	Cultural Leonesa	19	3	5	11	-16	+1.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	20	10	6	4	+10	-0.3	36
2	Santander	20	10	4	6	+3	-4.8	34
3	Cordoba	20	8	5	7	-2	+2.8	29
4	Andorra	19	8	4	7	+4	-0.9	28
5	Albacete	20	7	7	6	+4	+2.2	28
6	Burgos	19	8	4	7	-1	-1.3	28
7	Almeria	20	7	6	7	-2	-5.1	27
8	Castellon	20	6	8	6	+1	+5.7	26
9	Las Palmas	19	6	7	6	-4	-2.5	25
10	Malaga	19	7	3	9	+0	+0.9	24
11	Granada	20	6	4	10	-7	-5.5	22
12	Eibar	19	5	6	8	-6	-3.8	21
13	Cadiz	20	4	8	8	-10	-4.8	20
14	Leganes	20	4	7	9	-5	-4.4	19
15	Cultural Leonesa	20	5	4	11	-12	-12.7	19
16	Sociedad B	20	5	3	12	-9	-8.2	18
17	Ceuta	20	4	6	10	-19	-14.9	18
18	Valladolid	19	4	5	10	-11	-1.9	17
19	Zaragoza	20	4	5	11	-11	-3.2	17
20	Mirandes	20	4	5	11	-12	-4.1	17
21	Sp Gijon	19	5	1	13	-10	-1.0	16
22	Huesca	19	2	2	15	-21	-1.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.