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LaLiga2
Referee: M Orellana
Las Palmas
S S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Zaragoza
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 34%
48%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
45%
35%
Both score Ø 53%
55%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 5. · Zaragoza 22.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 40 24 6 10 +26 -1.2 78
2 La Coruna 40 21 11 8 +20 +2.1 74
3 Almeria 40 21 8 11 +19 +2.0 71
4 Malaga 40 20 9 11 +21 +6.2 69
5 Las Palmas 40 19 12 9 +16 +0.7 69
6 Castellon 40 18 12 10 +17 +6.9 66
7 Burgos 40 18 12 10 +12 +5.3 66
8 Eibar 40 18 10 12 +11 +7.1 64
9 Cordoba 40 17 9 14 -2 +6.7 60
10 Albacete 41 16 11 14 +2 +2.0 59
11 Andorra 41 16 10 15 +9 +2.9 58
12 Ceuta 41 16 10 15 -13 -15.4 58
13 Sp Gijon 40 16 7 17 +3 +1.9 55
14 Granada 40 12 12 16 -3 -1.9 48
15 Sociedad B 41 12 10 19 -9 -9.0 46
16 Valladolid 40 12 10 18 -10 +2.2 46
17 Leganes 40 10 13 17 -6 +3.1 43
18 Cadiz 40 10 10 20 -20 -6.7 40
19 Huesca 40 9 10 21 -21 -0.2 37
20 Mirandes 40 9 10 21 -23 -5.7 37
21 Cultural Leonesa 40 9 9 22 -27 -12.1 36
22 Zaragoza 40 8 11 21 -22 +2.9 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Zaragoza
38′
🟨 Keidi Bare
1–0 Jese
41′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Kenan Kodro
50′
🟨 Nikola Čumić
J. Viera 🔁
↦ E. Pedrola
56′
57′
🔁 H. Pinilla
↦ N. Cumic
Pejino 🔁
↦ T. Miyashiro
63′
J. Herzog 🔁
↦ Marvin
63′
73′
M. A. Cuenca 1–1
H. Pinilla
82′
🔁 R. Guti
↦ K. Bare
82′
🔁 L. Terrer
↦ T. Moya
83′
🔁 W. Agada
↦ D. Gomez
I. Bravo 🔁
↦ M. Fuster
84′
V. Pezzolesi 🔁
↦ Alex Suarez
84′
86′
🔁 M. Aguirregabiria
↦ J. Sebastian
92′
🟨 Raúl Guti
97′
🟨 Adrián Rodríguez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
1 D. Horkas G
2 Marvin D
4 Alex Suarez D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
20 K. Rodriguez M
16 L. Amatucci M
18 T. Miyashiro M
14 M. Fuster M
39 E. Pedrola M
10 Jese F
Bench (12)
35 A. Suarez
13 J. Caro
21 J. Viera
8 I. Gil
23 C. Gutierrez
49 I. Bravo
26 I. Gonzalez
38 I. Medina
27 V. Pezzolesi
7 N. Benedetti
24 Pejino
15 J. Herzog

Coach: Luis Garcia

Zaragoza

4-4-2
13 A. Rodriguez G
2 J. Sebastian D
33 Y. Saidu D
16 A. Radovanovic D
27 J. Larios D
23 M. A. Cuenca M
8 T. Moya M
6 K. Bare M
25 N. Cumic M
19 K. Kodro F
9 D. Gomez F
Bench (12)
35 Obon
17 F. Moyano
24 P. Akouokou
22 W. Agada
31 H. Pinilla
10 R. Guti
15 C. Pomares
20 M. Aguirregabiria
3 D. Tasende
26 M. Mensah
34 L. Terrer
36 A. Gomes

Coach: David Navarro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,40
U ✓
4,25
B
6,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Orellana · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
7,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.