Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cremonese
Como
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | +37.4 | 87 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 | +12.9 | 76 |
| 3 |
Roma
|
37 | 22 | 4 | 11 | +26 | +13.2 | 70 |
| 4 |
Milan
|
37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | +19 | +17.4 | 70 |
| 5 |
Como
|
37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | +33 | +26.6 | 68 |
| 6 |
Juventus
|
37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | +27 | +34.8 | 68 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 | +15.3 | 59 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 | -1.3 | 56 |
| 9 |
Lazio
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 | -5.1 | 54 |
| 10 |
Udinese
|
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | -3 | -10.6 | 50 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 | -13.3 | 49 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 | -24.8 | 45 |
| 13 |
Torino
|
37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | -19 | -7.1 | 44 |
| 14 |
Fiorentina
|
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 | +2.8 | 42 |
| 15 |
Genoa
|
37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | -9 | -2.5 | 41 |
| 16 |
Cagliari
|
37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | -14 | -15.9 | 40 |
| 17 |
Lecce
|
37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | -23 | -27.3 | 35 |
| 18 |
Cremonese
|
37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | -22 | -21.0 | 34 |
| 19 |
Verona
|
37 | 3 | 12 | 22 | -34 | -12.2 | 21 |
| 20 |
Pisa
|
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -45 | -19.6 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
E. Audero
G
F. Terracciano
D
M. Bianchetti
D
S. Luperto
D
A. Zerbin
M
M. Thorsby
M
A. Grassi
M
Y. Maleh
M
G. Pezzella
M
F. Bonazzoli
F
J. Vardy
F
Coach: Marco Giampaolo
J. Butez
G
I. Smolcic
D
J. Ramon
D
M. O. Kempf
D
A. Moreno
D
L. Da Cunha
M
M. Perrone
M
A. Diao
M
M. Baturina
M
J. Rodriguez
M
A. Douvikas
F
Coach: Cesc Fabregas
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Udinese
Cremonese
Cremonese
Pisa
Cremonese
Lazio
Napoli
Cremonese
Cremonese
Torino
F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.