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Serie A
Referee: F Maresca
Cremonese
U T T S S
1–4
Full-time
Como
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 37%
22%
51%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,06 xG 2,47
30% Possession 70%
6 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
3 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 18. · Como 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 +54 +37.4 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 +22 +12.9 76
3 Roma 37 22 4 11 +26 +13.2 70
4 Milan 37 20 10 7 +19 +17.4 70
5 Como 37 19 11 7 +33 +26.6 68
6 Juventus 37 19 11 7 +27 +34.8 68
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 +15 +15.3 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 +3 -1.3 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 +1 -5.1 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 -3 -10.6 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 -4 -13.3 49
12 Parma 38 11 12 15 -18 -24.8 45
13 Torino 37 12 8 17 -19 -7.1 44
14 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 -9 +2.8 42
15 Genoa 37 10 11 16 -9 -2.5 41
16 Cagliari 37 10 10 17 -14 -15.9 40
17 Lecce 37 9 8 20 -23 -27.3 35
18 Cremonese 37 8 10 19 -22 -21.0 34
19 Verona 37 3 12 22 -34 -12.2 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 -45 -19.6 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Como
David Okereke 🟥
-5′
Milan Đurić 🟥
-5′
J. Vandeputte 🔁
↦ Y. Maleh
16′
20′
🟨 Jesús Rodriguez
Morten Thorsby 🟨
21′
36′
J. Rodriguez 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Collocolo 🔁
↦ M. Thorsby
46′
R. Floriani 🔁
↦ A. Zerbin
46′
49′
🟨 Alberto Moreno
51′
A. Douvikas 0–2
J. Rodriguez
1–2 F. Bonazzoli
55′
Jamie Vardy 🟨
61′
64′
🔁 M. Caqueret
↦ J. Rodriguez
68′
ℹ️ Anastasios Douvikas
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Matteo Bianchetti 🟨
71′
Alberto Grassi 🟥
71′
74′
L. Da Cunha 1–3
Jari Vandeputte 🟨
76′
76′
🔁 I. Van der Brempt
↦ A. Moreno
81′
L. Da Cunha 1–4
M. Caqueret
T. Barbieri 🔁
↦ F. Terracciano
83′
83′
🔁 A. Morata
↦ A. Douvikas
83′
🔁 M. Vojvoda
↦ A. Diao
83′
🔁 S. Roberto
↦ M. Baturina
S. Lottici Tessadri 🔁
↦ F. Bonazzoli
85′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 E. Audero G
24 F. Terracciano D
15 M. Bianchetti D
5 S. Luperto D
7 A. Zerbin M
2 M. Thorsby M
33 A. Grassi M
29 Y. Maleh M
3 G. Pezzella M
90 F. Bonazzoli F
10 J. Vardy F
Bench (12)
16 M. Silvestri
69 L. Nava
9 M. Djuric
27 J. Vandeputte
77 D. Okereke
18 M. Collocolo
55 F. Folino
21 S. Lottici Tessadri
23 F. Ceccherini
4 T. Barbieri
22 R. Floriani
26 T. Vigilati

Coach: Marco Giampaolo

Como

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
28 I. Smolcic D
14 J. Ramon D
2 M. O. Kempf D
18 A. Moreno D
33 L. Da Cunha M
23 M. Perrone M
38 A. Diao M
20 M. Baturina M
17 J. Rodriguez M
11 A. Douvikas F
Bench (14)
22 M. Vigorito
21 N. Tornqvist
7 A. Morata
34 Diego Carlos
31 M. Vojvoda
8 S. Roberto
5 E. Goldaniga
6 M. Caqueret
19 N. Kuhn
77 I. Van der Brempt
10 N. Paz
15 A. Lahdo
58 S. Pisati
49 R. Cassano

Coach: Cesc Fabregas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,33
U
4,05
B ✓
1,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.