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LaLiga2
Referee: Carlos Muñiz
Malaga
U S T S U
0–0
Full-time
Santander
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,2
3,2
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 51%
29%
73%
Points per game
1,5
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
36%
47%
Both score Ø 45%
36%
53%
Average goals
1,6
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
19 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 2
11 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 10. · Santander 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 15 11 3 1 +13 36
2 Granada 16 7 5 4 +5 26
3 Oviedo 15 7 5 3 +5 26
4 Zaragoza 16 7 4 5 +7 25
5 Sp Gijon 15 7 4 4 +7 25
6 Mirandes 15 7 4 4 +4 25
7 Almeria 15 7 4 4 +2 25
8 Levante 14 6 5 3 +4 23
9 Elche 15 6 4 5 +3 22
10 Malaga 14 4 9 1 +1 21
11 Eibar 16 6 3 7 -2 21
12 Castellon 14 6 2 6 +2 20
13 Huesca 15 5 4 6 +3 19
14 Eldense 15 5 3 7 -3 18
15 Cadiz 16 4 6 6 -4 18
16 Burgos 16 5 3 8 -7 18
17 Albacete 15 4 5 6 -4 17
18 Cordoba 15 4 5 6 -4 17
19 La Coruna 15 4 4 7 +0 16
20 Ferrol 15 2 7 6 -8 13
21 Tenerife 14 2 4 8 -9 10
22 Cartagena 16 3 1 12 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Santander
-5′
🟨 Alvaro Mantilla
23′
🟨 Marco Sangalli
Luismi 🟨
42′
42′
🟨 Iñigo Vicente
Half-time 0–0
Dioni 🔁
↦ R. Baturina
46′
46′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
46′
🔁 C. Michelin
↦ Marco Sangalli
Carlos Puga 🟨
48′
Antonio Cordero 🔁
↦ Y. Rahmani
59′
Gabilondo 🔁
↦ Puga
59′
Sergio Castel 🔁
↦ Julen Lobete
68′
69′
🔁 L. Junior
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
81′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ Andrés Martín
A. Moloney 🔁
↦ David Larrubia
83′
89′
🔁 Ekain Zenitagoia
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Puga D
5 Álex Pastor D
20 Nélson Monte D
14 Víctor García D
10 David Larrubia M
19 Luismi M
12 Manu Molina M
21 Y. Rahmani M
9 R. Baturina F
24 Julen Lobete F
Bench (12)
17 Dioni
26 Antonio Cordero
2 Gabilondo
25 Sergio Castel
35 A. Moloney
15 M. Diarra
18 Dani Sánchez
6 Ramón Enríquez
23 Sangalli
22 Dani Lorenzo
29 Izan Merino
13 Carlos López

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
15 Marco Sangalli D
5 Javi Castro D
24 Javi Montero D
40 Mario García D
21 Unai Vencedor M
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
11 Andrés Martín M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
22 Pablo Rodríguez M
19 Jon Karrikaburu F
Bench (11)
12 M. Gueye
17 C. Michelin
7 L. Junior
20 S. Camara
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
32 Jorge Salinas
2 Álvaro Mantilla
28 Marco Carrascal
1 Miquel Parera
29 Jeremy Arévalo
3 Saúl García

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U ✓
3,17
B
2,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Muñiz · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.