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Allsvenskan

Referee: Richard Sundell

Malmo FF

T S T T T

2–3

Full-time

Vasteras SK

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Vasteras SK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 69%

75%

63%

Average goals

3,5

3,1

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

61% Possession 39%

9 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 11. · Vasteras SK 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	9	8	1	0	+14	+7.7	25
2	Hammarby	10	5	2	3	+12	+6.9	17
3	Hacken	8	4	4	0	+5	+3.3	16
4	Elfsborg	9	4	4	1	+5	+1.8	16
5	Mjallby	9	4	2	3	+3	-1.9	14
6	Brommapojkarna	9	4	2	3	-1	-1.1	14
7	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+6	+3.3	13
8	GAIS	10	3	3	4	+2	+1.1	12
9	AIK	9	3	3	3	-1	-3.7	12
10	Kalmar	9	3	1	5	-1	+2.6	10
11	Malmo FF	8	3	1	4	-2	-2.2	10
12	Degerfors	9	2	3	4	-4	-2.1	9
13	Vasteras SK	8	2	3	3	-5	-5.2	9
14	Halmstad	9	1	3	5	-8	-3.4	6
15	Goteborg	8	1	3	4	-10	-1.0	6
16	Orgryte	9	1	2	6	-15	-5.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	5	5	0	0	+9	+5.9	15
2	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+15	+7.0	13
3	Elfsborg	5	3	2	0	+5	+1.4	11
4	Kalmar	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.1	10
5	GAIS	5	2	2	1	+5	+0.5	8
6	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
7	Djurgarden	6	2	1	3	+4	+1.2	7
8	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.1	6
9	AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.1	6
10	Halmstad	5	1	2	2	-3	-2.2	5
11	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
12	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.4	4
13	Malmo FF	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.3	3
14	Vasteras SK	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.3	3
15	Orgryte	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.4	2
16	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Brommapojkarna	6	3	1	2	-1	+0.7	10
3	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.0	8
4	Mjallby	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.8	8
5	Malmo FF	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.5	7
6	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.1	6
7	AIK	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.5	6
8	Vasteras SK	4	2	0	2	-4	-4.9	6
9	Degerfors	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.3	5
10	Elfsborg	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.4	5
11	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	-7	-1.0	5
12	GAIS	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.6	4
13	Hammarby	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.1	4
14	Orgryte	5	1	0	4	-13	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.1	1
16	Kalmar	4	0	0	4	-4	+1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.