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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Zaragoza
T S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Valladolid
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 0
7 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 5. · Valladolid 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Andorra 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Albacete 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Amorebieta 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Levante 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Leganes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Elche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cartagena 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Sp Gijon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Villarreal B 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -4 0
22 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Valladolid
Gaetan Poussin 🟨
-5′
Carlos Nieto 🟨
14′
1–0 Alejandro Francés
31′
38′
ℹ️ Luis Pérez
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Kenedy
↦ Raúl Moro
46′
🔁 Lucas Rosa
↦ Sergio Escudero
50′
🟨 Iván Sánchez
Maikel Mesa ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
55′
58′
🔁 Sergio León
↦ Iván Cédric
58′
🔁 Joni Montiel
↦ F. Boyomo
Sergio Bermejo 🔁
↦ Iván Azón
72′
Cristian Álvarez 🟨
82′
Víctor Mollejo 🔁
↦ S. Bakış
82′
Jaume Grau 🔁
↦ Toni Moya
82′
84′
🟨 Alberto Quintana
Germán Valera 🔁
↦ Maikel Mesa
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
6 Alejandro Francés D
3 Jair Amador D
17 Carlos Nieto D
14 Francho Serrano M
8 Marc Aguado M
21 Toni Moya M
11 Maikel Mesa M
12 S. Bakış F
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (12)
10 Sergio Bermejo
28 Víctor Mollejo
5 Jaume Grau
7 Germán Valera
15 S. Mouriño
34 Marcos Cuenca
22 Q. Lecoeuche
35 Dani Rebollo
13 G. Poussin
27 Marcos Luna
24 Lluís López
23 Sergi Enrich

Coach: Fran Escribá

Valladolid

4-2-3-1
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Luis Pérez D
6 F. Boyomo D
26 Alberto Quintana D
18 Sergio Escudero D
16 César de la Hoz M
8 Monchu M
11 Raúl Moro M
10 Iván Sánchez M
36 B. Akinsola M
35 Iván Cédric F
Bench (10)
24 Kenedy
22 Lucas Rosa
7 Sergio León
21 Joni Montiel
29 Iván Garriel
4 Víctor Meseguer
37 E. Frimpong
34 Mario Maroto
31 Álvaro Aceves
33 Víctor Rofino

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,34
U
3,02
B
3,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.