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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Rakow

S T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,0

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

42%

31%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

46%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

54%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,22 xG 1,07

39% Possession 61%

7 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 8. · Widzew Lodz 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	26	12	8	6	+9	+20.1	44
2	Zaglebie	26	11	8	7	+10	-4.3	41
3	Jagiellonia	26	11	8	7	+9	-1.1	41
4	Gornik Zabrze	26	11	6	9	+4	-4.4	39
5	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	6	9	+3	+4.0	39
6	Wisla Plock	27	10	9	8	+2	-0.9	39
7	GKS Katowice	27	12	3	12	+1	-7.2	39
8	Rakow	26	11	5	10	+2	+7.5	38
9	Motor Lublin	26	9	10	7	-3	-5.6	37
10	Korona Kielce	26	10	6	10	+4	-3.2	36
11	Cracovia	26	9	9	8	+3	+3.1	36
12	Piast Gliwice	26	10	5	11	-1	-3.6	35
13	Pogon Szczecin	26	10	4	12	-4	+8.4	34
14	Radomiak Radom	26	8	9	9	+2	-1.2	33
15	Legia	26	6	12	8	-1	+0.4	30
16	Arka Gdynia	26	8	6	12	-19	-8.6	30
17	Widzew Lodz	26	8	5	13	-3	+4.9	29
18	Nieciecza	26	5	7	14	-18	-8.2	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	13	8	2	3	+9	+10.4	26
2	GKS Katowice	14	8	2	4	+6	-1.5	26
3	Arka Gdynia	13	7	5	1	+5	-3.6	26
4	Gornik Zabrze	13	8	1	4	+11	+1.9	25
5	Radomiak Radom	13	7	3	3	+14	+7.6	24
6	Lechia Gdansk	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
7	Wisla Plock	13	7	3	3	+5	+1.9	24
8	Zaglebie	13	6	5	2	+12	+1.6	23
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	2	4	+9	+3.7	23
10	Lech Poznan	13	6	4	3	+6	+13.1	22
11	Motor Lublin	14	5	7	2	+4	+2.0	22
12	Korona Kielce	13	6	2	5	+5	+3.0	20
13	Legia	13	5	5	3	+5	+1.7	20
14	Cracovia	13	5	5	3	+4	+5.9	20
15	Widzew Lodz	13	5	4	4	+2	+2.8	19
16	Rakow	12	5	3	4	+2	+4.4	18
17	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+1	+2.2	18
18	Nieciecza	13	2	4	7	-9	-3.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	13	6	4	3	+3	+7.0	22
2	Rakow	14	6	2	6	+0	+3.1	20
3	Jagiellonia	13	4	6	3	+0	-4.8	18
4	Zaglebie	13	5	3	5	-2	-5.8	18
5	Piast Gliwice	13	5	2	6	-2	-5.8	17
6	Korona Kielce	13	4	4	5	-1	-6.2	16
7	Cracovia	13	4	4	5	-1	-2.8	16
8	Wisla Plock	14	3	6	5	-3	-2.8	15
9	Motor Lublin	12	4	3	5	-7	-7.7	15
10	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	3	6	-8	-0.9	15
11	Gornik Zabrze	13	3	5	5	-7	-6.3	14
12	GKS Katowice	13	4	1	8	-5	-5.7	13
13	Nieciecza	13	3	3	7	-9	-5.2	12
14	Widzew Lodz	13	3	1	9	-5	+2.0	10
15	Legia	13	1	7	5	-6	-1.3	10
16	Radomiak Radom	13	1	6	6	-12	-8.8	9
17	Pogon Szczecin	13	2	2	9	-13	-2.0	8
18	Arka Gdynia	13	1	1	11	-24	-5.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.