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La Liga

Referee: J Sanchez

Mallorca

T T U S T

2–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 50%

24%

76%

Points per game

1,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

66%

62%

Both score Ø 61%

66%

55%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,22 xG 1,28

36% Possession 64%

6 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mallorca 18. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	29	24	1	4	+50	+36.4	73
2	Real Madrid	29	22	3	4	+37	+32.5	69
3	Villarreal	29	18	4	7	+20	+9.8	58
4	Ath Madrid	29	17	6	6	+21	+12.3	57
5	Betis	29	11	11	7	+7	+9.7	44
6	Celta	29	10	11	8	+6	+4.1	41
7	Sociedad	30	11	8	11	+1	-1.0	41
8	Getafe	29	11	5	13	-6	-9.0	38
9	Ath Bilbao	29	11	5	13	-9	+10.4	38
10	Osasuna	29	10	7	12	-1	-4.2	37
11	Espanol	29	10	7	12	-8	-1.4	37
12	Vallecano	30	8	11	11	-6	+3.3	35
13	Valencia	29	9	8	12	-10	+1.8	35
14	Girona	29	8	10	11	-13	-9.5	34
15	Alaves	29	8	7	14	-11	-5.0	31
16	Sevilla	29	8	7	14	-12	-18.2	31
17	Elche	30	6	11	13	-9	-18.7	29
18	Mallorca	29	7	7	15	-13	-17.3	28
19	Levante	30	6	8	16	-16	-15.6	26
20	Oviedo	29	4	9	16	-28	-20.3	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	15	0	0	+39	+24.9	45
2	Ath Madrid	15	13	1	1	+22	+18.1	40
3	Real Madrid	15	13	0	2	+24	+21.5	39
4	Villarreal	15	12	1	2	+21	+9.6	37
5	Osasuna	14	8	4	2	+9	+6.1	28
6	Sociedad	15	8	3	4	+8	+5.7	27
7	Ath Bilbao	15	8	2	5	+2	+11.5	26
8	Betis	14	7	4	3	+10	+8.2	25
9	Elche	15	6	7	2	+8	-1.9	25
10	Vallecano	15	5	8	2	+6	+10.2	23
11	Valencia	14	6	5	3	+4	+10.8	23
12	Mallorca	14	6	4	4	+3	+0.5	22
13	Espanol	15	6	3	6	-3	+1.2	21
14	Alaves	14	5	5	4	+1	+0.8	20
15	Girona	14	5	4	5	-5	-7.0	19
16	Getafe	14	5	3	6	+1	-3.9	18
17	Celta	15	4	5	6	+2	+5.5	17
18	Sevilla	15	4	4	7	-3	-4.9	16
19	Levante	15	3	5	7	-8	-6.5	14
20	Oviedo	14	3	5	6	-8	-9.0	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	9	3	2	+13	+11.0	30
2	Barcelona	14	9	1	4	+11	+11.4	28
3	Celta	14	6	6	2	+4	-1.5	24
4	Villarreal	14	6	3	5	-1	+0.2	21
5	Getafe	15	6	2	7	-7	-5.1	20
6	Betis	15	4	7	4	-3	+1.4	19
7	Ath Madrid	14	4	5	5	-1	-5.8	17
8	Espanol	14	4	4	6	-5	-2.6	16
9	Girona	15	3	6	6	-8	-2.6	15
10	Sevilla	14	4	3	7	-9	-13.3	15
11	Sociedad	15	3	5	7	-7	-6.7	14
12	Levante	15	3	3	9	-8	-9.0	12
13	Ath Bilbao	14	3	3	8	-11	-1.1	12
14	Vallecano	15	3	3	9	-12	-6.8	12
15	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-14	-9.0	12
16	Alaves	15	3	2	10	-12	-5.8	11
17	Osasuna	15	2	3	10	-10	-10.3	9
18	Oviedo	15	1	4	10	-20	-11.3	7
19	Mallorca	15	1	3	11	-16	-17.8	6
20	Elche	15	0	4	11	-17	-16.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.