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Bundesliga

Referee: A Harkam

Tirol

U S S T T

3–1

Full-time

Wolfsberger AC

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Wolfsberger AC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 31%

33%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,96 xG 0,73

47% Possession 53%

20 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 15

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 9. · Wolfsberger AC 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	24	13	3	8	+10	+7.0	42
2	SK Rapid	24	11	6	7	+4	-2.2	39
3	Austria Vienna	24	12	3	9	+2	+3.0	39
4	Salzburg	24	10	8	6	+15	+9.3	38
5	LASK	24	11	5	8	+0	+5.5	38
6	Hartberg	24	8	10	6	+4	-6.8	34
7	Ried	25	10	4	11	-3	-3.4	34
8	Altach	25	8	9	8	+0	-6.3	33
9	Tirol	24	8	7	9	-4	+1.9	31
10	Wolfsberger AC	24	7	6	11	-3	-9.7	27
11	Grazer AK	24	6	8	10	-8	+1.2	26
12	BW Linz	24	5	3	16	-17	+0.4	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	12	6	5	1	+6	-0.2	23
2	LASK	12	7	2	3	+3	+4.3	23
3	Ried	13	6	3	4	+1	+1.1	21
4	SK Rapid	12	6	2	4	+4	-0.8	20
5	Salzburg	12	5	3	4	+7	+5.2	18
6	Tirol	12	5	3	4	+0	+0.3	18
7	Grazer AK	12	4	5	3	+1	+2.3	17
8	Sturm Graz	12	5	2	5	-2	+1.9	17
9	Austria Vienna	12	5	2	5	-4	+0.8	17
10	Wolfsberger AC	12	4	4	4	+2	-2.6	16
11	Hartberg	12	4	4	4	+1	-0.8	16
12	BW Linz	12	4	1	7	-3	+2.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	12	8	1	3	+12	+5.1	25
2	Austria Vienna	12	7	1	4	+6	+2.2	22
3	Salzburg	12	5	5	2	+8	+4.2	20
4	SK Rapid	12	5	4	3	+0	-1.4	19
5	Hartberg	12	4	6	2	+3	-6.0	18
6	LASK	12	4	3	5	-3	+1.2	15
7	Ried	12	4	1	7	-4	-4.5	13
8	Tirol	12	3	4	5	-4	+1.6	13
9	Wolfsberger AC	12	3	2	7	-5	-7.1	11
10	Altach	13	2	4	7	-6	-6.1	10
11	Grazer AK	12	2	3	7	-9	-1.1	9
12	BW Linz	12	1	2	9	-14	-1.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.