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LaLiga2

Valladolid

T T T S U

1–1

Full-time

Malaga

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

25%

38%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

2,3

2,1

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

18 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

8 Corners 5

13 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 9. · Malaga 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	8	6	0	2	+10	18
2	Sp Gijon	8	5	2	1	+4	17
3	Ponferradina	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Tenerife	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Eibar	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Las Palmas	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Oviedo	8	2	5	1	+2	11
8	Ibiza	8	2	5	1	+1	11
9	Valladolid	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Malaga	8	3	2	3	-3	11
11	Huesca	8	3	1	4	+2	10
12	Fuenlabrada	8	2	4	2	+1	10
13	Mirandes	8	3	1	4	+0	10
14	Sociedad B	8	2	3	3	+0	9
15	Burgos	8	2	3	3	+0	9
16	Leganes	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Cartagena	8	3	0	5	-7	9
18	Lugo	8	1	5	2	-2	8
19	Girona	8	2	2	4	-2	8
20	Zaragoza	8	1	5	2	-2	8
21	Amorebieta	8	1	4	3	-4	7
22	Alcorcon	8	1	0	7	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ponferradina	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Sp Gijon	4	4	0	0	+4	12
3	Las Palmas	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Malaga	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Almeria	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Burgos	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Huesca	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Ibiza	4	1	3	0	+2	6
11	Valladolid	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Oviedo	4	1	3	0	+2	6
13	Mirandes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
14	Amorebieta	4	1	3	0	+1	6
15	Cartagena	3	2	0	1	+0	6
16	Fuenlabrada	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Leganes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Lugo	4	1	2	1	-1	5
19	Tenerife	3	1	1	1	+1	4
20	Sociedad B	4	1	1	2	-2	4
21	Zaragoza	4	0	3	1	-1	3
22	Alcorcon	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	5	3	1	1	+2	10
2	Almeria	5	3	0	2	+5	9
3	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+0	7
4	Sociedad B	4	1	2	1	+2	5
5	Fuenlabrada	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Sp Gijon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Ibiza	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Zaragoza	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Valladolid	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Mirandes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Huesca	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Lugo	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Alcorcon	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Ponferradina	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Cartagena	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Burgos	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Girona	3	0	1	2	-3	1
21	Amorebieta	4	0	1	3	-5	1
22	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.