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LaLiga2
Referee: A Moreno
Mirandes
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Malaga
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mirandes Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
17%
48%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,16 xG 1,36
33% Possession 67%
21 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mirandes 22. · Malaga 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 24 13 5 6 +17 +0.5 44
2 Castellon 24 12 6 6 +13 +3.0 42
3 La Coruna 24 11 7 6 +12 +2.7 40
4 Almeria 24 11 6 7 +10 +0.9 39
5 Las Palmas 24 10 9 5 +9 -0.4 39
6 Malaga 23 11 5 7 +9 +1.1 38
7 Cordoba 24 10 8 6 +5 +1.0 38
8 Burgos 24 11 5 8 +4 +3.1 38
9 Sp Gijon 24 11 3 10 +1 +1.9 36
10 Ceuta 24 10 5 9 -4 -5.1 35
11 Cadiz 24 9 7 8 -1 -1.0 34
12 Albacete 24 9 6 9 -4 +2.3 33
13 Eibar 24 8 7 9 -1 +0.5 31
14 Leganes 24 7 8 9 +1 +5.1 29
15 Granada 24 6 11 7 -2 +0.1 29
16 Andorra 24 7 8 9 -7 +1.2 29
17 Valladolid 24 7 7 10 -2 +2.4 28
18 Huesca 24 7 6 11 -10 +0.4 27
19 Sociedad B 24 6 7 11 -4 -4.3 25
20 Cultural Leonesa 24 7 4 13 -13 -9.0 25
21 Zaragoza 24 5 7 12 -16 -2.8 22
22 Mirandes 23 4 5 14 -17 -3.6 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mirandes Malaga
1–0 C. Fernandez
A. Houary
22′
Pablo Pérez 🟨
30′
Selvi Clúa 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Ochoa
↦ R. Rodriguez
Rafael Bauzà 🟨
52′
T. Helguera 🔁
↦ R. Bauza
55′
56′
🟨 Aarón Ochoa
59′
A. Ochoa 1–1
63′
🔁 J. Munoz
↦ A. Nino
A. Martin Luis 🔁
↦ A. Houary
79′
82′
🟨 Carlos Puga
82′
🔁 E. Jauregi
↦ Chupe
82′
🔁 Juanpe
↦ D. Lorenzo
83′
🟨 Einar Galilea
2–1 C. Fernandez
87′
A. Pica 🔁
↦ T. Tamarit
90′
M. Pascual 🔁
↦ J. Hernandez
91′
Juan Palomares 🟨
92′
92′
🔁 J. Dorrio
↦ I. Merino
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Mirandes

5-3-2
13 Juanpa G
27 T. Tamarit D
22 J. Gutierrez D
19 N. Maras D
15 J. Cabello D
17 P. Perez D
28 J. Hernandez M
16 S. Clua M
18 R. Bauza M
10 C. Fernandez F
29 A. Houary F
Bench (10)
31 A. Gorrin
32 S. Gabriel
30 S. El Jebari
48 U. del Cura
2 H. Novoa Ramos
3 F. Medrano
4 M. Pascual
5 A. Pica
6 T. Helguera
8 A. Martin Luis

Coach: Antxon Muneta

Malaga

4-4-2
1 A. Herrero G
3 C. Puga D
36 A. Recio D
4 E. Galilea D
31 Rafita D
10 D. Larrubia M
37 R. Rodriguez M
23 I. Merino M
22 D. Lorenzo M
21 A. Nino F
9 Chupe F
Bench (11)
13 C. Lopez
25 J. Dorrio
17 E. Jauregi
11 J. Munoz
35 A. Ochoa
20 J. Montero
30 A. Cespedes
2 J. Gabilondo
26 P. Arriaza
8 Juanpe
7 H. Abaida

Coach: Juan Funes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,96
U
3,08
B
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Moreno · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.