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LaLiga2
Referee: M Perez
Castellon
U S U S S
2–0
Full-time
La Coruna
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 50%
52%
48%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
48%
56%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,23 xG 0,93
48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 2. · La Coruna 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 26 14 5 7 +17 -0.9 47
2 Castellon 25 13 6 6 +17 +3.0 45
3 Almeria 26 13 6 7 +12 +0.9 45
4 La Coruna 25 12 7 6 +13 +2.7 43
5 Malaga 25 12 5 8 +9 +0.3 41
6 Las Palmas 26 10 11 5 +9 +0.4 41
7 Cordoba 25 11 8 6 +6 +2.0 41
8 Burgos 26 11 7 8 +4 +4.0 40
9 Sp Gijon 26 12 4 10 +2 +2.4 40
10 Eibar 26 9 8 9 +0 +1.8 35
11 Cadiz 26 9 8 9 -2 -1.9 35
12 Ceuta 25 10 5 10 -6 -5.4 35
13 Albacete 26 9 7 10 -5 +1.8 34
14 Granada 26 7 11 8 +1 +0.8 32
15 Leganes 26 8 8 10 +1 +4.6 32
16 Huesca 26 8 6 12 -9 +0.8 30
17 Andorra 26 7 8 11 -9 +1.6 29
18 Sociedad B 25 7 7 11 -3 -4.8 28
19 Valladolid 26 7 7 12 -10 +1.2 28
20 Cultural Leonesa 26 7 5 14 -14 -9.0 26
21 Zaragoza 26 5 9 12 -16 -2.8 24
22 Mirandes 26 5 6 15 -17 -3.6 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon La Coruna
1–0 O. Camara
A. Calatrava
10′
Diego Barri 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Giacomo Quagliata
R. Sanchez 🔁
↦ I. Suero
60′
2–0 A. Calatrava
B. Cipenga
63′
64′
🔁 S. Mulattieri
↦ Z. Eddahchouri
64′
🔁 Cruz Luismi
↦ J. Jurado
Agustín Sienra 🟨
66′
M. Doue 🔁
↦ Barri
73′
74′
🔁 X. Navarro
↦ A. Altimira
74′
🔁 Stoichkov
↦ G. Quagliata
78′
🟨 Miguel Loureiro
79′
🔁 D. Villares
↦ R. Rodriguez
A. Garcia 🔁
↦ O. Camara
83′
P. Santiago 🔁
↦ B. Cipenga
84′
F. Brignani 🔁
↦ A. Sienra
84′
86′
🟨 David Mella
Marc-Olivier Doué 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Castellon

4-4-2
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
5 A. Jimenez D
4 A. Sienra D
12 L. Alcazar D
10 I. Suero M
8 Barri M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
16 B. Cipenga M
9 O. Camara F
21 A. Calatrava F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
29 T. De Nipoti
18 P. Santiago
26 R. Catala
3 F. Brignani
7 A. Mabil
25 Ronaldo
2 Tincho
14 R. Sanchez
6 M. Doue
23 A. Garcia
17 S. Ruiz

Coach: Pablo Hernandez

La Coruna

4-2-3-1
25 A. Fernandez G
2 A. Altimira D
4 L. Noubi D
15 M. Loureiro D
12 G. Quagliata D
14 R. Rodriguez M
20 J. Jurado M
11 D. Mella M
21 M. Soriano M
10 Y. Hernandez M
9 Z. Eddahchouri F
Bench (12)
1 G. Parreno
18 S. Escudero
6 C. Patino
16 J. Gragera
3 A. Comas
23 X. Navarro
22 Stoichkov
7 S. Mulattieri
19 Cruz Luismi
17 C. Herrera
5 D. Barcia
8 D. Villares

Coach: Antonio Hidalgo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,82
U
3,47
B
3,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Perez · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.