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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Lorient
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Angers
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 36%
33%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
43%
29%
Both score Ø 45%
52%
38%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,95 xG 0,42
59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 11. · Angers 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lens 22 17 1 4 +25 +14.9 52
2 Paris SG 22 16 3 3 +30 +23.6 51
3 Lyon 21 13 3 5 +14 +10.3 42
4 Marseille 22 12 4 6 +19 +8.7 40
5 Lille 22 10 4 8 +4 +7.0 34
6 Rennes 22 9 7 6 -1 -2.0 34
7 Strasbourg 22 9 4 9 +7 +7.5 31
8 Monaco 22 9 4 9 +1 +5.5 31
9 Toulouse 22 8 6 8 +6 +2.1 30
10 Angers 21 8 5 8 -3 -12.4 29
11 Lorient 21 7 7 7 -6 -0.5 28
12 Brest 22 7 6 9 -5 +1.2 27
13 Le Havre 22 6 8 8 -7 -6.4 26
14 Nice 21 6 5 10 -11 -11.3 23
15 Paris FC 22 5 7 10 -13 -10.3 22
16 Auxerre 21 3 5 13 -15 -7.2 14
17 Nantes 22 3 5 14 -20 -13.1 14
18 Metz 21 3 4 14 -25 -17.8 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Angers
1–0 P. Pagis
A. Kouassi
9′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 J. Makengo
58′
A. Avom 🔁
↦ J. Makengo
67′
67′
🔁 F. Hanin
↦ Y. Belkhdim
67′
🔁 A. Sbai
↦ J. Ekomie
D. Karim 🔁
↦ P. Pagis
74′
S. Soumano 🔁
↦ B. Dieng
74′
75′
🔁 P. Peter
↦ G. Koyalipou
75′
🔁 L. Machine
↦ L. Mouton
81′
🔁 M. Courcoul
↦ B. van den Boomen
P. Katseris 🔁
↦ T. Le Bris
85′
B. Meite 🔁
↦ D. Yongwa
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lorient

3-4-2-1
38 Y. Mvogo G
2 Igor Silva D
3 M. Talbi D
44 D. Yongwa D
11 T. Le Bris M
8 N. Cadiou M
6 L. Abergel M
43 A. Kouassi M
17 J. Makengo F
10 P. Pagis F
12 B. Dieng F
Bench (9)
21 B. Kamara
32 N. Adjei
77 P. Katseris
5 B. Meite
62 A. Avom
29 D. Karim
9 M. Bamba
28 S. Soumano
15 A. Tosin

Coach: Olivier Pantaloni

Angers

4-2-3-1
12 H. Koffi G
2 C. Arcus D
4 O. Camara D
21 J. Lefort D
3 J. Ekomie D
93 H. Belkebla M
8 B. van den Boomen M
14 Y. Belkhdim M
6 L. Mouton M
27 L. Raolisoa M
9 G. Koyalipou F
Bench (9)
16 M. Zinga
26 F. Hanin
24 E. Biumla
25 A. Bamba
15 P. Capelle
5 M. Courcoul
7 A. Sbai
35 P. Peter
36 L. Machine

Coach: Alexandre Dujeux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,11
B
4,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.