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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Bestard Servera
Granada
U T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Castellon
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,95 xG 0,75
47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 20. · Castellon 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 21 11 5 5 +14 +0.2 38
2 Las Palmas 21 10 8 3 +13 -0.1 38
3 Almeria 21 10 6 5 +10 +0.9 36
4 La Coruna 21 9 7 5 +11 +2.7 34
5 Castellon 20 10 4 6 +9 +3.2 34
6 Cadiz 21 9 7 5 +2 -0.8 34
7 Burgos 21 9 5 7 +5 +2.5 32
8 Ceuta 20 9 5 6 +0 -4.0 32
9 Sp Gijon 21 9 3 9 -3 +1.2 30
10 Malaga 20 8 5 7 +4 -0.8 29
11 Cordoba 20 7 8 5 +2 +0.6 29
12 Leganes 21 6 8 7 +2 +2.0 26
13 Valladolid 21 6 7 8 -2 +3.1 25
14 Andorra 21 6 7 8 -6 +1.0 25
15 Cultural Leonesa 21 7 4 10 -8 -7.8 25
16 Eibar 21 6 6 9 -3 +0.5 24
17 Albacete 21 6 6 9 -8 +1.3 24
18 Sociedad B 21 6 5 10 -2 -1.2 23
19 Huesca 20 6 5 9 -9 +1.3 23
20 Granada 20 4 9 7 -4 -0.1 21
21 Zaragoza 21 5 5 11 -14 -2.8 20
22 Mirandes 21 4 5 12 -13 -3.2 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Castellon
Half-time 0–0
51′
ℹ️ Ousmane Camara
VAR: Goal cancelled
P. Saenz 🔁
↦ S. Rodelas
61′
65′
🔁 B. Cipenga
↦ P. Santiago
65′
🔁 A. Jakobsen
↦ O. Camara
M. Trigueros 🔁
↦ P. Aleman
68′
76′
🔁 M. Doue
↦ B. Gerenabarrena
76′
🔁 T. De Nipoti
↦ A. Mabil
M. Bouldini 🔁
↦ J. Pascual
84′
L. Gagnidze 🔁
↦ A. Sola
85′
90′
🔁 S. Ruiz
↦ Tincho
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Granada

4-3-3
13 A. Astralaga G
28 O. Naasei D
5 M. Lama D
24 L. Williams D
22 B. Diallo D
8 P. Aleman M
20 S. Ruiz M
11 J. M. Arnaiz M
7 A. Sola F
19 J. Pascual F
26 S. Rodelas F
Bench (8)
34 I. Garcia
3 D. Hormigo
10 M. Bouldini
14 M. Trigueros
21 P. Saenz
23 L. Gagnidze
30 G. Akogo
36 Juanjo

Coach: José Rojo Martín

Castellon

4-4-2
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
3 F. Brignani D
5 A. Jimenez D
26 Tincho D
7 A. Mabil M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
8 Barri M
18 P. Santiago M
21 A. Calatrava F
9 O. Camara F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
4 A. Sienra
6 M. Doue
10 I. Suero
14 O. Gil
16 B. Cipenga
17 S. Ruiz
19 A. Jakobsen
20 N. Markanich
23 K. Mamah
25 Ronaldo
29 T. De Nipoti

Coach: Pablo Hernández Domínguez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,22
B
2,37
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.