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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Motor Lublin

U T U S T

2–3

Full-time

Lechia Gdansk

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Lechia Gdansk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

2,7

4,5

Scored

1,2

2,8

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 33%

25%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 73%

65%

80%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,1

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,43 xG 3,13

59% Possession 41%

7 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motor Lublin 13. · Lechia Gdansk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	20	10	6	4	+13	-3.3	36
2	Wisla Plock	21	8	9	4	+7	+1.6	33
3	Gornik Zabrze	20	10	3	7	+5	-2.5	33
4	Zaglebie	21	8	8	5	+6	-0.9	32
5	Cracovia	21	8	8	5	+5	+4.0	32
6	Rakow	21	9	4	8	+2	+5.2	31
7	Korona Kielce	21	8	6	7	+4	-2.6	30
8	Lechia Gdansk	20	8	5	7	+2	-1.6	29
9	Lech Poznan	20	7	8	5	+1	+11.7	29
10	Radomiak Radom	20	7	6	7	+3	+1.5	27
11	GKS Katowice	20	8	3	9	-2	-6.9	27
12	Piast Gliwice	20	7	5	8	+1	-6.8	26
13	Motor Lublin	20	5	9	6	-7	-2.7	24
14	Widzew Lodz	21	7	2	12	-3	+4.3	23
15	Pogon Szczecin	20	6	4	10	-5	+8.8	22
16	Arka Gdynia	19	6	4	9	-17	-6.4	22
17	Legia	21	4	9	8	-3	+1.5	21
18	Nieciecza	20	5	5	10	-12	-4.9	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	12	7	3	2	+8	+3.6	24
2	Gornik Zabrze	11	7	1	3	+10	+3.2	22
3	Arka Gdynia	10	6	3	1	+4	-3.3	21
4	Radomiak Radom	10	6	2	2	+13	+6.9	20
5	Zaglebie	11	5	5	1	+11	+2.9	20
6	Jagiellonia	8	6	0	2	+10	+0.6	18
7	Lechia Gdansk	10	5	3	2	+9	+2.4	18
8	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	2	3	+6	+8.4	17
9	Cracovia	10	4	5	1	+5	+6.3	17
10	GKS Katowice	11	5	2	4	+1	-2.4	17
11	Motor Lublin	10	3	6	1	+2	+3.9	15
12	Piast Gliwice	10	4	3	3	+2	-1.7	15
13	Korona Kielce	10	4	2	4	+2	+2.4	14
14	Widzew Lodz	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.7	14
15	Legia	10	3	4	3	+3	+1.9	13
16	Lech Poznan	10	3	4	3	-1	+8.1	13
17	Rakow	10	3	3	4	-1	+1.7	12
18	Nieciecza	10	2	2	6	-8	-2.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	6	1	4	+3	+3.6	19
2	Jagiellonia	12	4	6	2	+3	-3.9	18
3	Korona Kielce	11	4	4	3	+2	-5.0	16
4	Lech Poznan	10	4	4	2	+2	+3.6	16
5	Cracovia	11	4	3	4	+0	-2.2	15
6	Nieciecza	10	3	3	4	-4	-2.0	12
7	Zaglebie	10	3	3	4	-5	-3.8	12
8	Piast Gliwice	10	3	2	5	-1	-5.1	11
9	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	2	4	-5	-5.8	11
10	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	2	5	-7	-3.9	11
11	GKS Katowice	9	3	1	5	-3	-4.5	10
12	Wisla Plock	9	1	6	2	-1	-2.0	9
13	Widzew Lodz	11	3	0	8	-4	+1.6	9
14	Motor Lublin	10	2	3	5	-9	-6.6	9
15	Legia	11	1	5	5	-6	-0.4	8
16	Radomiak Radom	10	1	4	5	-10	-5.4	7
17	Pogon Szczecin	10	1	2	7	-11	+0.4	5
18	Arka Gdynia	9	0	1	8	-21	-3.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.