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Super League
Referee: D Moschou
Panathinaikos
U U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Larisa
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Larisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 20/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
45%
23%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,01 xG 0,79
70% Possession 30%
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 5. · Larisa 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AEK 23 16 5 2 +25 +2.7 53
2 Olympiakos 23 15 6 2 +29 +2.1 51
3 PAOK 22 15 5 2 +30 +1.5 50
4 Levadeiakos 23 11 8 4 +24 -1.6 41
5 Panathinaikos 20 9 6 5 +7 -0.1 33
6 OFI Crete 21 9 1 11 -5 -2.1 28
7 Aris Thessalonikis 21 6 9 6 -3 -2.5 27
8 Aris 21 6 9 6 -3 27
9 Volos NFC 23 8 3 12 -12 +1.6 27
10 Panetolikos 23 7 3 13 -11 -0.4 24
11 Larisa 22 5 7 10 -13 +0.8 22
12 Atromitos 21 5 5 11 -6 20
13 Kifisia 21 4 8 9 -7 +1.6 20
14 Asteras Tripolis 23 3 8 12 -15 -0.4 17
15 Panserraikos 21 2 3 16 -40 -3.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Larisa
28′
🟨 Erick Ferigra
Vicente Taborda 🟨
39′
Ahmed Touba 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
46′
L. Tupta 0–1
P. Sisto
A. Zaroury 🔁
↦ S. Andino
58′
M. Pantovic 🔁
↦ A. Touba
58′
61′
🟨 Alexandros Anagnostopoulos
1–1 A. Bakasetas
A. Gnezda Cerin
67′
68′
🔁 J. Ngoy
↦ A. Sagal
73′
🔁 F. Perez
↦ P. Sisto
A. Jagusic 🔁
↦ V. Taborda
83′
84′
🔁 K. Apostolakis
↦ L. Tupta
84′
🔁 S. Mourgos
↦ G. Naor
Karol Świderski 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

3-4-2-1
40 A. Lafont G
3 G. Katris
21 T. Jedvaj D
5 A. Touba D
2 D. Calabria M
16 A. Gnezda Cerin M
11 A. Bakasetas M
26 J. Hernandez M
20 V. Taborda F
10 S. Andino F
19 K. Swiderski F
Bench (12)
12 L. Chaves
70 K. Kotsaris
14 E. Palmer-Brown
6 M. Siopis
8 R. Sanches
9 A. Zaroury
18 S. Kontouris
23 P. Pantelidis
39 I. G. Bokos
52 T. Vilhena
88 A. Jagusic
72 M. Pantovic

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Larisa

3-4-3
94 A. Anagnostopoulos G
4 T. Iliadis D
28 D. Batubinsika D
14 E. Ferigra D
27 Y. Macon M
15 G. Naor M
31 J. Atanasov M
20 D. Olafsson M
29 L. Tupta F
25 A. Sagal F
77 P. Sisto F
Bench (10)
21 T. Venetikidis
2 K. Apostolakis
6 E. Pantelakis
7 J. Ngoy
8 F. Perez
11 S. Mourgos
12 A. Kossonou
18 Z. Chatzistravos
19 G. Pasas
23 L. Garate

Coach: Savvas Pantelidis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,31
U ✓
4,58
B
8,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.