Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Panathinaikos
Larisa
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AEK
|
23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | +25 | +2.7 | 53 |
| 2 |
Olympiakos
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | +29 | +2.1 | 51 |
| 3 |
PAOK
|
22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | +30 | +1.5 | 50 |
| 4 |
Levadeiakos
|
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | +24 | -1.6 | 41 |
| 5 |
Panathinaikos
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +7 | -0.1 | 33 |
| 6 |
OFI Crete
|
21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | -5 | -2.1 | 28 |
| 7 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | -3 | -2.5 | 27 |
| 8 |
Aris
|
21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | -3 | – | 27 |
| 9 |
Volos NFC
|
23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | -12 | +1.6 | 27 |
| 10 |
Panetolikos
|
23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -11 | -0.4 | 24 |
| 11 |
Larisa
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -13 | +0.8 | 22 |
| 12 |
Atromitos
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | – | 20 |
| 13 |
Kifisia
|
21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -7 | +1.6 | 20 |
| 14 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -15 | -0.4 | 17 |
| 15 |
Panserraikos
|
21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | -40 | -3.3 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Lafont
G
G. Katris
A. Touba
D
D. Calabria
M
A. Gnezda Cerin
M
V. Taborda
F
S. Andino
F
K. Swiderski
F
Coach: Rafael Benitez
A. Anagnostopoulos
G
Y. Macon
M
A. Sagal
F
Coach: Savvas Pantelidis
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Olympiakos
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
Kifisia
Panathinaikos
Roma
Atromitos
Panathinaikos
Ferencvarosi TC
Panathinaikos
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.