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LaLiga2
Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo
Castellon
S S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Leganes
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 39%
48%
29%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
43%
Both score Ø 53%
57%
48%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
5 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 4. · Leganes 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 21 11 5 5 +14 +0.2 38
2 Las Palmas 21 10 8 3 +13 -0.1 38
3 Almeria 21 10 6 5 +10 +0.9 36
4 Castellon 21 10 5 6 +9 +3.0 35
5 La Coruna 21 9 7 5 +11 +2.7 34
6 Cadiz 21 9 7 5 +2 -0.8 34
7 Malaga 21 9 5 7 +5 +1.5 32
8 Burgos 21 9 5 7 +5 +2.5 32
9 Cordoba 21 8 8 5 +3 +0.6 32
10 Ceuta 21 9 5 7 -1 -6.3 32
11 Sp Gijon 21 9 3 9 -3 +1.2 30
12 Leganes 21 6 8 7 +2 +2.0 26
13 Valladolid 21 6 7 8 -2 +3.1 25
14 Andorra 21 6 7 8 -6 +1.0 25
15 Cultural Leonesa 21 7 4 10 -8 -7.8 25
16 Eibar 21 6 6 9 -3 +0.5 24
17 Albacete 21 6 6 9 -8 +1.3 24
18 Sociedad B 21 6 5 10 -2 -1.2 23
19 Huesca 21 6 5 10 -10 +1.3 23
20 Granada 21 4 10 7 -4 +0.1 22
21 Zaragoza 21 5 5 11 -14 -2.8 20
22 Mirandes 21 4 5 12 -13 -3.2 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Leganes
1–0 A. Mabil
29′
Half-time 1–0
B. Cipenga 🔁
↦ P. Santiago
57′
Alberto Jiménez 🟨
65′
I. Suero 🔁
↦ A. Mabil
68′
A. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ O. Camara
68′
68′
🔁 B. Pauwels
↦ N. Garcia
68′
🔁 O. Plano
↦ R. Lopez
Diego Barri 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 G. Melero
↦ S. Cisse
74′
🔁 D. Garcia
↦ A. Millan
Beñat Gerenabarrena 🟨
81′
84′
🟨 Óscar Plano
88′
🔁 C. Guirao
↦ E. Franquesa
2–0 I. Suero
88′
M. Doue 🔁
↦ B. Gerenabarrena
90′
K. Mamah 🔁
↦ A. Calatrava
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Castellon

4-4-2
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
3 F. Brignani D
5 A. Jimenez D
12 L. Alcazar D
7 A. Mabil M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
8 Barri M
18 P. Santiago M
9 O. Camara F
21 A. Calatrava F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
4 A. Sienra
6 M. Doue
10 I. Suero
16 B. Cipenga
17 S. Ruiz
19 A. Jakobsen
23 K. Mamah
25 Ronaldo
26 Tincho
29 T. De Nipoti
55 M. Willman

Coach: Pablo Hernández Domínguez

Leganes

4-3-3
1 J. Soriano G
7 R. Pena D
6 G. Aguilar Lopez D
2 Marvel D
15 E. Franquesa D
14 R. Lopez M
24 A. Diawara M
8 S. Cisse M
10 J. Cruz F
23 A. Millan F
17 N. Garcia F
Bench (12)
13 M. San Roman
31 J. Garrido
3 J. Saenz
5 I. Miquel
16 G. Melero
18 B. Pauwels
19 D. Garcia
20 O. Plano
21 A. Campos
26 C. Guirao
32 S. Fernandez
36 M. Leiva

Coach: Francisco José López Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
3,84
B
4,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Damaso Arcediano Monescillo · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.