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LaLiga2
Referee: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
Zaragoza
S S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Cadiz
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
24%
35%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
35%
41%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
41%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 22. · Cadiz 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 18 11 3 4 +15 +0.2 36
2 La Coruna 17 9 5 3 +15 +2.8 32
3 Almeria 17 9 5 3 +11 +0.4 32
4 Las Palmas 17 8 6 3 +8 +0.2 30
5 Castellon 17 8 4 5 +6 +3.2 28
6 Sp Gijon 18 8 3 7 -1 +1.0 27
7 Burgos 17 7 4 6 +5 +1.5 25
8 Ceuta 17 7 4 6 -3 -3.2 25
9 Valladolid 18 6 6 6 +4 +3.9 24
10 Cadiz 17 6 6 5 -2 -0.8 24
11 Cordoba 18 5 8 5 -1 +0.6 23
12 Cultural Leonesa 18 7 2 9 -4 -5.8 23
13 Albacete 17 6 4 7 -4 -0.7 22
14 Huesca 18 6 4 8 -6 +1.3 22
15 Andorra 18 5 6 7 -6 -1.3 21
16 Malaga 17 5 5 7 -1 -1.3 20
17 Leganes 18 4 8 6 -2 +1.4 20
18 Granada 18 4 8 6 -3 -0.1 20
19 Sociedad B 17 5 3 9 -3 +0.7 18
20 Eibar 18 4 6 8 -6 +0.1 18
21 Mirandes 17 4 4 9 -9 -0.7 16
22 Zaragoza 17 4 4 9 -13 -3.5 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Cadiz
J. Sebastian 🔁
↦ M. Aguirregabiria
6′
28′
🟨 Roger Martí
34′
🟨 Iker Recio
Half-time 0–0
Tachi 🔁
↦ Valery
59′
D. Tasende 🔁
↦ C. Pomares
59′
59′
A. Radovanovic 1–0
own goal
65′
M. Diakite 1–1
S. Ortuno
69′
🔁 Y. Diarra
↦ B. Ocampo
69′
🔁 A. Caicedo
↦ J. de la Rosa
69′
🔁 A. Pascual
↦ R. Marti
70′
🟨 Moussa Diakité
D. Gomez 🔁
↦ K. Kodro
71′
T. Moya 🔁
↦ F. Moyano
71′
2–1 Tachi
D. Tasende
77′
79′
🟨 Mario Climent
84′
Iza Carcelén
penalty missed
Alberto Rodríguez 🟨
86′
Mario Soberón 🟨
90′
93′
🔁 A. Fernandez
↦ S. Ortuno
Dani Tasende 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Alfred Caicedo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
13 A. Rodriguez G
20 M. Aguirregabiria D
4 P. Insua D
16 A. Radovanovic D
15 C. Pomares D
10 R. Guti M
6 K. Bare M
17 F. Moyano M
7 M. Soberon M
21 Valery M
19 K. Kodro F
Bench (12)
9 D. Gomez
11 S. Bazdar
34 L. Terrer
5 Tachi
32 H. Barrachina
31 H. Pinilla
36 A. Gomes
8 T. Moya
3 D. Tasende
14 Francho
2 J. Sebastian
35 Obon

Coach: Gabriel Fernández Arenas

Cadiz

4-4-2
13 V. Aznar G
20 I. Carcelen D
2 J. Moreno D
6 I. Ortega D
21 M. Climent D
19 J. de la Rosa M
5 M. Diakite M
15 S. Ortuno M
10 B. Ocampo M
9 R. Marti F
17 D. Camara F
Bench (10)
7 E. Ugiagbe
12 I. Tabatadze
22 J. Ontiveros
33 R. Pereira
8 A. Fernandez
27 P. Fernandez
18 Y. Diarra
29 A. Caicedo
1 D. Gil
23 A. Pascual

Coach: Gaizka Garitano Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,09
U
3,06
B ✓
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alvaro Moreno Aragon · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.