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LaLiga2

Referee: German Cid Camacho

Malaga

U T S U T

1–1

Full-time

Zaragoza

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Zaragoza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 28%

31%

25%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

19 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Malaga 15. · Zaragoza 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	17	11	2	4	+15	+0.2	35
2	La Coruna	17	9	5	3	+15	+2.8	32
3	Almeria	17	9	5	3	+11	+0.4	32
4	Las Palmas	17	8	6	3	+8	+0.2	30
5	Castellon	17	8	4	5	+6	+3.2	28
6	Burgos	17	7	4	6	+5	+1.5	25
7	Ceuta	17	7	4	6	-3	-3.2	25
8	Valladolid	17	6	6	5	+5	+3.9	24
9	Sp Gijon	17	7	3	7	-2	+0.0	24
10	Cadiz	17	6	6	5	-2	-0.8	24
11	Cultural Leonesa	17	7	2	8	-2	-5.8	23
12	Cordoba	17	5	7	5	-1	+0.6	22
13	Albacete	17	6	4	7	-4	-0.7	22
14	Granada	17	4	8	5	-2	+0.9	20
15	Malaga	16	5	4	7	-1	-1.3	19
16	Leganes	17	4	7	6	-2	+1.4	19
17	Huesca	17	5	4	8	-8	+1.3	19
18	Sociedad B	17	5	3	9	-3	+0.7	18
19	Andorra	17	4	6	7	-7	-1.3	18
20	Eibar	17	4	5	8	-6	+0.1	17
21	Mirandes	17	4	4	9	-9	-0.7	16
22	Zaragoza	16	4	3	9	-13	-3.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	9	6	1	2	+11	+0.4	19
2	Sociedad B	9	5	3	1	+7	+0.4	18
3	Ceuta	8	6	0	2	+5	-0.4	18
4	Almeria	8	5	2	1	+8	+2.5	17
5	Las Palmas	9	5	2	2	+5	+0.3	17
6	Malaga	8	4	3	1	+7	-1.1	15
7	La Coruna	8	4	3	1	+7	+2.4	15
8	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+5	+3.0	15
9	Sp Gijon	9	4	3	2	+2	+0.5	15
10	Huesca	9	4	3	2	+1	+0.0	15
11	Castellon	8	4	2	2	+3	+1.5	14
12	Cadiz	9	4	2	3	+0	+1.3	14
13	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	+3	+3.8	12
14	Burgos	9	3	3	3	+2	+2.1	12
15	Cordoba	8	3	2	3	-1	-1.2	11
16	Granada	9	2	4	3	+0	+2.3	10
17	Albacete	8	3	1	4	-4	-0.2	10
18	Andorra	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.6	9
19	Cultural Leonesa	8	2	2	4	-3	+0.3	8
20	Zaragoza	8	2	2	4	-8	-0.4	8
21	Mirandes	8	2	1	5	-8	-0.5	7
22	Leganes	8	1	3	4	-4	+1.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	9	5	2	2	+8	+0.4	17
2	Santander	8	5	1	2	+4	-0.2	16
3	Almeria	9	4	3	2	+3	-2.1	15
4	Cultural Leonesa	9	5	0	4	+1	-6.1	15
5	Castellon	9	4	2	3	+3	+1.7	14
6	Burgos	8	4	1	3	+3	-0.6	13
7	Las Palmas	8	3	4	1	+3	-0.1	13
8	Leganes	9	3	4	2	+2	+0.2	13
9	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+2	+0.1	12
10	Albacete	9	3	3	3	+0	-0.5	12
11	Cordoba	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.8	11
12	Granada	8	2	4	2	-2	-1.4	10
13	Cadiz	8	2	4	2	-2	-2.1	10
14	Mirandes	9	2	3	4	-1	-0.2	9
15	Sp Gijon	8	3	0	5	-4	-0.4	9
16	Andorra	9	2	3	4	-6	-0.7	9
17	Zaragoza	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.1	7
18	Ceuta	9	1	4	4	-8	-2.8	7
19	Malaga	8	1	1	6	-8	-0.1	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-9	+1.3	4
21	Eibar	8	0	2	6	-11	-2.9	2
22	Sociedad B	8	0	0	8	-10	+0.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.