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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Eibar
S T S T S
2–0
Full-time
Alcorcon
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 39%
49%
29%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
51%
26%
Both score Ø 44%
57%
31%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%
16 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eibar 4. · Alcorcon 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 36 17 12 7 +26 63
2 Valladolid 36 18 7 11 +13 61
3 Espanol 36 15 14 7 +15 59
4 Eibar 35 17 7 11 +17 58
5 Elche 36 16 9 11 +5 57
6 Oviedo 35 14 13 8 +15 55
7 Sp Gijon 36 15 10 11 +8 55
8 Santander 36 15 9 12 +5 54
9 Ferrol 36 14 12 10 +1 54
10 Burgos 35 15 8 12 -1 53
11 Levante 36 12 16 8 +2 52
12 Tenerife 36 12 10 14 -4 46
13 Zaragoza 36 11 12 13 +1 45
14 Huesca 36 9 15 12 +4 42
15 Eldense 35 10 12 13 -9 42
16 Alcorcon 35 10 10 15 -17 40
17 Cartagena 35 10 9 16 -14 39
18 Mirandes 35 9 11 15 -10 38
19 Amorebieta 36 9 10 17 -13 37
20 Albacete 35 8 12 15 -10 36
21 Andorra 36 9 9 18 -15 36
22 Villarreal B 36 9 9 18 -19 36

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Alcorcon
34′
🔁 J. Babin
↦ David Morillas
41′
🟨 Víctor García
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Iago López Carracedo
1–0 Jon Bautista
Álvaro Tejero
47′
54′
🟨 Christian Borrego
54′
🟨 Iago López Carracedo
54′
🟥 Iago López Carracedo
62′
🔁 E. Addai
↦ Juanma Bravo
62′
🔁 Èric Callis
↦ Fede Vico
66′
🟨 Javier Pérez Mateo
K. de La Fuente 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
67′
Álvaro Tejero 🟨
71′
José Corpas 🔁
↦ Stoichkov
73′
Sergio Álvarez 🔁
↦ Álvaro Tejero
74′
77′
🔁 Marciano Sanca
↦ Víctor García
77′
🔁 Dyego Sousa
↦ Chiki
Sergio León 🔁
↦ Jon Bautista
83′
Unai Vencedor 🔁
↦ Mario Soriano
84′
2–0 José Corpas
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
2 Cristian Gutiérrez D
24 Peru Nolaskoain M
8 Matheus Pereira M
10 Ager Aketxe M
30 Mario Soriano M
19 Stoichkov M
18 Jon Bautista F
Bench (12)
27 K. de La Fuente
17 José Corpas
6 Sergio Álvarez
11 Sergio León
14 Unai Vencedor
29 Ander Madariaga
9 Y. Qasmi
7 Quique González
3 Frederico Venâncio
13 Yoel Rodríguez
4 Rober Correa
22 S. Simič

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Alcorcon

4-4-2
1 Jesús Ruiz G
20 Iago López D
2 Javi Castro D
4 Óscar Rivas D
3 David Morillas D
17 Víctor García M
16 Javi Pérez M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
10 Juanma Bravo M
14 Fede Vico F
9 Chiki F
Bench (11)
6 J. Babin
26 E. Addai
29 Èric Callis
33 Marciano Sanca
11 Dyego Sousa
28 Jaime Garrido
15 Javi Lara
24 Iker Bilbao
22 Juan Artola
21 Koldo Obieta
13 Lucas Anacker

Coach: M. Nafti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,10
B
7,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.