La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Getafe
Sociedad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | +47 | +31.1 | 78 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +28 | +35.2 | 70 |
| 3 |
Girona
|
32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | +27 | +12.9 | 68 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | +23 | +19.1 | 61 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | +22 | +14.3 | 58 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | +12 | +6.5 | 50 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | +2 | -6.1 | 48 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | +1 | -5.7 | 47 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -5 | -1.7 | 39 |
| 10 |
Getafe
|
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | -6 | -7.1 | 39 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -9 | -6.2 | 39 |
| 12 |
Las Palmas
|
32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | -9 | -22.4 | 37 |
| 13 |
Sevilla
|
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -5 | -9.4 | 34 |
| 14 |
Vallecano
|
32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | -12 | -4.0 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | -0.7 | 32 |
| 16 |
Celta
|
32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -10 | -4.4 | 31 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -11 | -6.5 | 31 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -23 | -14.6 | 25 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | -28 | -17.4 | 18 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | -32 | -13.0 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Vallecano
Getafe
Getafe
Sevilla
Getafe
Girona
Valencia
Getafe
Getafe
Las Palmas
Victor Garcia Verdura · 30 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.