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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Santander
U S U S S
0–1
Full-time
Alcorcon
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 35%
45%
24%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
55%
27%
Both score Ø 46%
58%
33%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
21 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
13 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Santander 6. · Alcorcon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 34 17 10 7 +26 61
2 Espanol 34 15 12 7 +15 57
3 Eibar 34 16 7 11 +15 55
4 Valladolid 34 16 7 11 +9 55
5 Oviedo 34 14 12 8 +15 54
6 Santander 33 15 8 10 +7 53
7 Elche 34 15 8 11 +4 53
8 Sp Gijon 34 14 10 10 +8 52
9 Levante 34 12 15 7 +3 51
10 Ferrol 34 13 12 9 +1 51
11 Burgos 34 14 8 12 -2 50
12 Tenerife 34 12 9 13 -3 45
13 Huesca 34 9 15 10 +6 42
14 Eldense 34 10 12 12 -8 42
15 Zaragoza 34 10 11 13 +0 41
16 Cartagena 34 10 9 15 -13 39
17 Mirandes 34 9 10 15 -10 37
18 Andorra 34 9 8 17 -13 35
19 Amorebieta 34 8 10 16 -11 34
20 Alcorcon 33 8 10 15 -19 34
21 Albacete 34 7 12 15 -11 33
22 Villarreal B 34 8 9 17 -19 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Alcorcon
18′
🟨 Iago López Carracedo
40′
🟨 Jesús Ruiz Suárez
Iñigo Vicente 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Víctor García
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Yan Eteki
66′
🔁 Javi Castro
↦ Iago López
66′
🔁 Pedro Mosquera
↦ Fede Vico
69′
Víctor García 0–1
Xavi Quintillà
72′
🟨 Víctor García
72′
🟥 Víctor García
Jeremy Arévalo 🔁
↦ Jordi Mboula
74′
Marco Sangalli 🔁
↦ Dani Fernández
74′
75′
🔁 Juanma Bravo
↦ Y. Eteki
79′
🟨 Chema
R. Baturina 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
82′
83′
🟨 Javier Pérez Mateo
83′
🟨 Chema
83′
🟥 Chema
86′
🔁 Juan Artola
↦ Jacobo González
86′
🔁 J. Babin
↦ Chiki
Ekain Zenitagoia 🔁
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
87′
Marco Sangalli 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
23 Dani Fernández D
18 Manu Hernando D
5 Germán Sánchez D
40 Mario García D
16 Iván Morante M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
8 Jordi Mboula M
17 Peque Fernández M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (11)
29 Jeremy Arévalo
7 Marco Sangalli
12 R. Baturina
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
20 L. Junior
15 Rubén Alves
19 C. Grenier
4 Pol Moreno
22 Juan Gutiérrez
31 Germán Fernández
3 Saúl García

Coach: José Alberto López

Alcorcon

4-1-4-1
1 Jesús Ruiz G
20 Iago López D
4 Óscar Rivas D
23 Chema Rodríguez D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
18 Y. Eteki M
17 Víctor García M
16 Javi Pérez M
14 Fede Vico M
8 Jacobo González M
9 Chiki F
Bench (11)
2 Javi Castro
5 Pedro Mosquera
10 Juanma Bravo
22 Juan Artola
6 J. Babin
21 Koldo Obieta
24 Iker Bilbao
15 Javi Lara
3 David Morillas
26 E. Addai
13 Lucas Anacker

Coach: M. Nafti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U
3,48
B ✓
4,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.