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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Alcorcon
U T S U S
1–0
Full-time
Villarreal B
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Villarreal B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 25%
26%
24%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
26%
47%
Both score Ø 41%
32%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alcorcon 19. · Villarreal B 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 35 17 11 7 +26 62
2 Eibar 35 17 7 11 +17 58
3 Espanol 35 15 13 7 +15 58
4 Valladolid 35 17 7 11 +10 58
5 Oviedo 35 14 13 8 +15 55
6 Sp Gijon 35 15 10 10 +9 55
7 Elche 35 15 9 11 +4 54
8 Ferrol 35 14 12 9 +2 54
9 Santander 35 15 8 12 +5 53
10 Burgos 35 15 8 12 -1 53
11 Levante 35 12 15 8 +2 51
12 Tenerife 35 12 9 14 -4 45
13 Huesca 35 9 15 11 +5 42
14 Zaragoza 35 10 12 13 +0 42
15 Eldense 35 10 12 13 -9 42
16 Cartagena 35 10 9 16 -14 39
17 Mirandes 35 9 11 15 -10 38
18 Amorebieta 35 9 10 16 -10 37
19 Alcorcon 34 9 10 15 -18 37
20 Albacete 35 8 12 15 -10 36
21 Andorra 35 9 8 18 -15 35
22 Villarreal B 34 8 9 17 -19 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alcorcon Villarreal B
1′
🟨 Pablo Íñiguez
Óscar Rivas 🟨
34′
38′
ℹ️ Pau Navarro
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Chiki
Juanma Bravo
59′
Iago López Carracedo 🟨
64′
David Morillas 🔁
↦ Xavi Quintillà
68′
Pedro Mosquera 🔁
↦ Fede Vico
69′
79′
🔁 A. Ferrari
↦ Carlos Romero
79′
🔁 Reque
↦ Pau Navarro
Juan Artola 🔁
↦ Juanma Bravo
80′
80′
🔁 Diego Collado
↦ Hugo Novoa
E. Addai 🔁
↦ Y. Eteki
81′
Iker Bilbao 🔁
↦ Chiki
89′
Jacobo González 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Alcorcon

4-3-3
1 Jesús Ruiz G
20 Iago López D
2 Javi Castro D
4 Óscar Rivas D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
16 Javi Pérez M
18 Y. Eteki M
14 Fede Vico M
10 Juanma Bravo F
9 Chiki F
8 Jacobo González F
Bench (12)
3 David Morillas
5 Pedro Mosquera
22 Juan Artola
26 E. Addai
24 Iker Bilbao
29 Èric Callis
15 Javi Lara
11 Dyego Sousa
33 Marciano Sanca
6 J. Babin
21 Koldo Obieta
31 Álex Ruiz

Coach: M. Nafti

Villarreal B

4-4-2
1 Iker Álvarez G
2 Adrià Alti D
12 S. Leković D
19 Pablo Íñiguez D
3 Dani Tasende D
17 Hugo Novoa M
33 Pau Navarro M
8 Carlo Adriano M
18 Carlos Romero M
9 Álex Forés F
10 Javi Ontiveros F
Bench (11)
24 A. Ferrari
27 Reque
7 Diego Collado
14 Aitor Gelardo
5 Abraham del Moral
16 Lanchi
22 T. Geralnik
29 Espigares
15 Marcos Sánchez
13 Miguel Ángel Morro
21 Rodri Alonso

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,11
B
3,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.