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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
Salzburg
S S S U T
4–2
Full-time
A. Klagenfurt
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg A. Klagenfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 48%
65%
31%
Points per game
2,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

62% Possession 38%
22 Shots 12
12 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 2. · A. Klagenfurt 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 27 17 7 3 +29 58
2 Salzburg 26 17 6 3 +36 57
3 LASK 27 11 9 7 +8 42
4 Austria Vienna 27 11 9 7 +7 42
5 SK Rapid 27 9 12 6 +19 39
6 Hartberg 27 10 8 9 -2 38
7 A. Klagenfurt 26 8 12 6 -3 36
8 Wolfsberger AC 27 8 10 9 -4 34
9 Altach 27 5 11 11 -12 26
10 BW Linz 27 4 11 12 -17 23
11 Tirol 27 6 4 17 -23 22
12 A. Lustenau 27 2 7 18 -38 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg A. Klagenfurt
1–0 L. Sučić
R. Šimić
5′
Strahinja Pavlović 🟨
7′
28′
ℹ️ Rico Benatelli
VAR: Penalty confirmed
31′
A. Irving 1–1
D. Guindo 🔁
↦ A. Ulmer
32′
2–1 O. Gloukh
34′
3–1 K. Konaté
O. Gloukh
35′
Roko Šimić 🟨
40′
4–1 K. Konaté
S. Pavlović
44′
Half-time 4–1
Karim Konaté ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
46′
46′
🔁 A. Schwarz
↦ S. Bonnah
52′
M. Besuschkow 4–2
A. Irving
53′
🔁 J. Robatsch
↦ R. Benatelli
64′
🔁 J. Arweiler
↦ M. Besuschkow
P. Ratkov 🔁
↦ R. Šimić
69′
L. Gourna-Douath 🔁
↦ A. Forson
69′
71′
🟨 Florian Jaritz
73′
🔁 S. Soto
↦ F. Jaritz
73′
🔁 C. Wernitznig
↦ K. Gkezos
Mamady Diambou 🟨
74′
S. Koïta 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
83′
D. Nene 🔁
↦ K. Konaté
83′
85′
🟨 Jonas Arweiler
94′
🟨 Thorsten Mahrer
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
25 F. Daniliuc D
22 O. Solet D
31 S. Pavlović D
17 A. Ulmer D
10 L. Sučić M
15 M. Diambou M
32 A. Forson M
30 O. Gloukh M
19 K. Konaté F
23 R. Šimić F
Bench (7)
29 D. Guindo
21 P. Ratkov
27 L. Gourna-Douath
20 S. Koïta
45 D. Nene
6 S. Baidoo
13 T. Horn

Coach: O. Cinel

A. Klagenfurt

3-5-2
13 P. Menzel G
8 K. Gkezos D
31 T. Mahrer D
37 N. Wimmer D
2 S. Bonnah M
23 M. Besuschkow M
20 R. Benatelli M
19 A. Irving M
33 T. Schumacher M
10 S. Karweina F
7 F. Jaritz F
Bench (6)
77 A. Schwarz
34 J. Robatsch
39 J. Arweiler
11 S. Soto
24 C. Wernitznig
1 M. Knaller

Coach: P. Pacult

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.