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Championship

Referee: M Salisbury

Middlesbrough

T S U S T

2–1

Full-time

West Brom

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

This season — Championship · 32/34 matches

Win Ø 44%

47%

41%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

34%

35%

Both score Ø 38%

47%

29%

Average goals

2,3

1,9

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

8 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 8. · West Brom 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	32	20	7	5	+52	67
2	Bournemouth	31	17	8	6	+23	59
3	Blackburn	33	16	9	8	+16	57
4	Sheffield United	32	16	7	9	+16	55
5	Coventry	33	15	8	10	+10	53
6	QPR	33	15	8	10	+9	53
7	Huddersfield	32	14	11	7	+9	53
8	Middlesbrough	32	15	7	10	+10	52
9	West Brom	34	14	10	10	+10	52
10	Preston	35	13	12	10	+1	51
11	Luton	31	14	8	9	+10	50
12	Stoke	32	13	8	11	+8	47
13	Nott'm Forest	30	13	7	10	+10	46
14	Blackpool	33	12	9	12	-1	45
15	Derby	34	11	12	11	-2	45
16	Millwall	32	11	10	11	-1	43
17	Bristol City	34	12	7	15	-14	43
18	Swansea	32	11	8	13	-8	41
19	Cardiff	34	11	7	16	-8	40
20	Birmingham	35	9	11	15	-15	38
21	Reading	34	10	6	18	-21	36
22	Hull	34	9	7	18	-11	34
23	Peterboro	31	5	6	20	-38	21
24	Peterborough	31	5	6	20	-38	21
25	Barnsley	32	3	9	20	-27	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	17	11	3	3	+16	36
2	Middlesbrough	17	11	2	4	+13	35
3	Fulham	17	10	4	3	+26	34
4	West Brom	16	9	6	1	+16	33
5	Coventry	17	10	3	4	+13	33
6	Derby	17	9	6	2	+9	33
7	Luton	16	9	4	3	+12	31
8	QPR	17	8	6	3	+10	30
9	Huddersfield	15	8	5	2	+8	29
10	Millwall	16	8	5	3	+7	29
11	Blackpool	18	9	2	7	+1	29
12	Stoke	17	8	4	5	+8	28
13	Swansea	16	8	4	4	+8	28
14	Sheffield United	15	8	3	4	+16	27
15	Bournemouth	14	8	3	3	+14	27
16	Preston	17	6	8	3	+3	26
17	Bristol City	17	7	5	5	+1	26
18	Nott'm Forest	16	7	3	6	+3	24
19	Birmingham	17	6	5	6	+0	23
20	Cardiff	17	6	2	9	+1	20
21	Reading	17	5	4	8	-9	19
22	Hull	17	5	3	9	-4	18
23	Peterboro	15	4	5	6	-3	17
24	Peterborough	15	4	5	6	-3	17
25	Barnsley	15	3	4	8	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	15	10	3	2	+26	33
2	Bournemouth	17	9	5	3	+9	32
3	Sheffield United	17	8	4	5	+0	28
4	Preston	18	7	4	7	-2	25
5	Huddersfield	17	6	6	5	+1	24
6	QPR	16	7	2	7	-1	23
7	Nott'm Forest	14	6	4	4	+7	22
8	Blackburn	16	5	6	5	+0	21
9	Coventry	16	5	5	6	-3	20
10	Cardiff	17	5	5	7	-9	20
11	Stoke	15	5	4	6	+0	19
12	Luton	15	5	4	6	-2	19
13	West Brom	18	5	4	9	-6	19
14	Middlesbrough	15	4	5	6	-3	17
15	Reading	17	5	2	10	-12	17
16	Bristol City	17	5	2	10	-15	17
17	Blackpool	15	3	7	5	-2	16
18	Hull	17	4	4	9	-7	16
19	Birmingham	18	3	6	9	-15	15
20	Millwall	16	3	5	8	-8	14
21	Swansea	16	3	4	9	-16	13
22	Derby	17	2	6	9	-11	12
23	Barnsley	17	0	5	12	-19	5
24	Peterboro	16	1	1	14	-35	4
25	Peterborough	16	1	1	14	-35	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.