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LaLiga2

Referee: Álvaro Moreno

Burgos

T S T U T

1–0

Full-time

Villarreal B

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Villarreal B

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

30%

49%

Both score Ø 42%

35%

49%

Average goals

1,6

2,4

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

13 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 7

1 Offside 7

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 12. · Villarreal B 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	38	18	13	7	+10	67
2	Granada	38	19	8	11	+19	65
3	Levante	38	16	17	5	+15	65
4	Alaves	38	18	11	9	+13	65
5	Las Palmas	38	16	16	6	+16	64
6	Albacete	38	15	14	9	+5	59
7	Cartagena	38	16	9	13	+5	57
8	Oviedo	38	14	10	14	-2	52
9	Andorra	38	14	9	15	+8	51
10	Mirandes	38	13	12	13	-1	51
11	Tenerife	38	12	14	12	+4	50
12	Burgos	37	12	14	11	+2	50
13	Zaragoza	38	11	16	11	+1	49
14	Huesca	38	10	18	10	+1	48
15	Sp Gijon	38	11	15	12	+0	48
16	Santander	38	12	11	15	-3	47
17	Villarreal B	37	12	10	15	-5	46
18	Leganes	38	12	10	16	-7	46
19	Malaga	38	9	13	16	-6	40
20	Ponferradina	38	7	15	16	-18	36
21	Ibiza	38	6	11	21	-29	29
22	Lugo	38	5	12	21	-28	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	19	15	4	0	+29	49
2	Alaves	19	12	6	1	+16	42
3	Eibar	19	11	7	1	+12	40
4	Tenerife	19	10	6	3	+14	36
5	Levante	19	10	6	3	+13	36
6	Huesca	19	9	8	2	+11	35
7	Las Palmas	19	9	7	3	+11	34
8	Albacete	19	9	6	4	+10	33
9	Mirandes	19	9	6	4	+6	33
10	Sp Gijon	19	8	8	3	+9	32
11	Leganes	19	9	5	5	+3	32
12	Andorra	19	9	3	7	+10	30
13	Villarreal B	19	8	6	5	+7	30
14	Zaragoza	19	7	9	3	+7	30
15	Cartagena	19	9	3	7	+0	30
16	Burgos	18	7	8	3	+6	29
17	Oviedo	19	8	5	6	+1	29
18	Santander	19	7	6	6	+3	27
19	Malaga	19	6	8	5	+1	26
20	Ponferradina	19	5	6	8	-8	21
21	Ibiza	19	4	7	8	-6	19
22	Lugo	19	3	9	7	-5	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	19	7	9	3	+5	30
2	Levante	19	6	11	2	+2	29
3	Cartagena	19	7	6	6	+5	27
4	Eibar	19	7	6	6	-2	27
5	Albacete	19	6	8	5	-5	26
6	Alaves	19	6	5	8	-3	23
7	Oviedo	19	6	5	8	-3	23
8	Andorra	19	5	6	8	-2	21
9	Burgos	19	5	6	8	-4	21
10	Santander	19	5	5	9	-6	20
11	Zaragoza	19	4	7	8	-6	19
12	Mirandes	19	4	6	9	-7	18
13	Sp Gijon	19	3	7	9	-9	16
14	Granada	19	4	4	11	-10	16
15	Villarreal B	18	4	4	10	-12	16
16	Ponferradina	19	2	9	8	-10	15
17	Malaga	19	3	5	11	-7	14
18	Tenerife	19	2	8	9	-10	14
19	Leganes	19	3	5	11	-10	14
20	Huesca	19	1	10	8	-10	13
21	Ibiza	19	2	4	13	-23	10
22	Lugo	19	2	3	14	-23	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.