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LaLiga2
Referee: Iosu Galech
Lugo
U T T U S
0–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
22%
28%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lugo 19. · Sp Gijon 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 19 9 8 2 +12 35
2 Burgos 19 9 7 3 +9 34
3 Alaves 19 9 7 3 +5 34
4 Eibar 19 9 6 4 +6 33
5 Levante 18 8 7 3 +7 31
6 Cartagena 19 9 4 6 +5 31
7 Granada 18 8 4 6 +9 28
8 Andorra 19 8 3 8 +5 27
9 Huesca 19 7 6 6 +2 27
10 Villarreal B 19 7 6 6 -1 27
11 Leganes 19 7 5 7 +1 26
12 Albacete 19 6 8 5 -3 26
13 Oviedo 19 6 6 7 -2 24
14 Sp Gijon 18 5 8 5 +0 23
15 Tenerife 19 6 5 8 -2 23
16 Zaragoza 19 5 7 7 -3 22
17 Mirandes 19 4 8 7 -4 20
18 Santander 18 4 6 8 -5 18
19 Lugo 18 4 6 8 -7 18
20 Ponferradina 18 4 5 9 -9 17
21 Malaga 18 3 5 10 -10 14
22 Ibiza 18 3 3 12 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugo Sp Gijon
Marc Carbó 🔁
↦ Juanpe
31′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Pablo Insua
57′
🔁 Jony
↦ Aitor García
57′
🔁 J. Otero
↦ Cristo González
57′
🔁 Nacho Martín
↦ Dani Queipo
58′
🟨 Pablo Insua
58′
🟥 Pablo Insua
64′
🟨 Carlos Izquierdoz
Manu Barreiro 🔁
↦ M. El Hacen
71′
Josep Señé 🔁
↦ Clavería
71′
71′
🔁 J. Carrillo
↦ U. Đurđević
82′
G. Zarfino 0–1
Marc Carbo 🟨
83′
Ángel Baena 🔁
↦ J. Cuéllar
84′
O. Lebedenko 🔁
↦ Xavi Torres
84′
95′
🟨 Iván Cuéllar
Manu Barreiro 🟨
97′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lugo

4-3-3
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
14 Xavi Torres D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
12 Zé Ricardo D
6 Juanpe M
4 Clavería M
18 M. El Hacen M
29 J. Cuéllar F
16 Chris Ramos F
7 Sebas Moyano F
Bench (11)
22 Marc Carbó
9 Manu Barreiro
8 Josep Señé
11 Ángel Baena
19 O. Lebedenko
17 N. Lozano
1 P. Sequeira
28 Dani Vidal
20 Bruno Pirri
32 I. Thiam
23 Jordi Calavera

Coach: Fran Justo

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 Iván Cuéllar G
2 Guille Rosas D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
3 Cote D
7 Aitor García M
18 G. Zarfino M
6 José Gragera M
30 Dani Queipo M
12 Cristo González F
23 U. Đurđević F
Bench (10)
9 Jony
19 J. Otero
33 Nacho Martín
20 J. Carrillo
21 U. Milovanović
5 Bruno
13 Diego Mariño
35 Juan Aspra
32 Diego Sánchez
29 Jordi Pola

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,21
U
3,02
B ✓
2,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,50
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.