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LaLiga2

Referee: Alejandro Quintero

Ponferradina

T U T T U

1–0

Full-time

Lugo

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 21%

21%

Points per game

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

53%

37%

Both score Ø 56%

58%

53%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ponferradina 20. · Lugo 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	19	9	8	2	+12	35
2	Burgos	19	9	7	3	+9	34
3	Alaves	19	9	7	3	+5	34
4	Eibar	19	9	6	4	+6	33
5	Levante	19	8	8	3	+7	32
6	Cartagena	19	9	4	6	+5	31
7	Granada	19	8	5	6	+9	29
8	Andorra	20	8	4	8	+5	28
9	Villarreal B	20	7	7	6	-1	28
10	Leganes	20	7	6	7	+1	27
11	Huesca	20	7	6	7	-1	27
12	Sp Gijon	19	6	8	5	+1	26
13	Albacete	19	6	8	5	-3	26
14	Zaragoza	20	6	7	7	+0	25
15	Tenerife	20	6	6	8	-2	24
16	Oviedo	19	6	6	7	-2	24
17	Mirandes	19	4	8	7	-4	20
18	Santander	19	4	6	9	-6	18
19	Lugo	19	4	6	9	-8	18
20	Ponferradina	19	4	6	9	-9	18
21	Malaga	20	3	7	10	-10	16
22	Ibiza	20	4	4	12	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Eibar	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	Alaves	9	6	3	0	+8	21
4	Huesca	10	6	3	1	+7	21
5	Villarreal B	10	5	5	0	+8	20
6	Burgos	10	5	3	2	+6	18
7	Levante	10	5	3	2	+6	18
8	Las Palmas	9	5	3	1	+6	18
9	Tenerife	10	5	3	2	+5	18
10	Leganes	10	5	3	2	+3	18
11	Cartagena	10	5	2	3	+3	17
12	Andorra	10	5	1	4	+8	16
13	Mirandes	10	4	4	2	+3	16
14	Zaragoza	10	4	4	2	+3	16
15	Sp Gijon	9	4	3	2	+5	15
16	Albacete	10	3	5	2	+1	14
17	Oviedo	10	4	2	4	-1	14
18	Ibiza	11	3	3	5	-4	12
19	Lugo	10	2	4	4	-1	10
20	Malaga	9	2	4	3	-4	10
21	Ponferradina	9	2	3	4	-3	9
22	Santander	9	1	4	4	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	10	4	5	1	+6	17
2	Burgos	9	4	4	1	+3	16
3	Cartagena	9	4	2	3	+2	14
4	Levante	9	3	5	1	+1	14
5	Alaves	10	3	4	3	-3	13
6	Eibar	10	3	3	4	-3	12
7	Andorra	10	3	3	4	-3	12
8	Albacete	9	3	3	3	-4	12
9	Santander	10	3	2	5	-2	11
10	Sp Gijon	10	2	5	3	-4	11
11	Oviedo	9	2	4	3	-1	10
12	Leganes	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Zaragoza	10	2	3	5	-3	9
14	Ponferradina	10	2	3	5	-6	9
15	Lugo	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Villarreal B	10	2	2	6	-9	8
17	Malaga	11	1	3	7	-6	6
18	Tenerife	10	1	3	6	-7	6
19	Huesca	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Granada	10	1	3	6	-9	6
21	Mirandes	9	0	4	5	-7	4
22	Ibiza	9	1	1	7	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.