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LaLiga2

Referee: Rafael Sánchez

Santander

U U S T T

0–1

Full-time

Lugo

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,5

1,7

Scored

0,7

0,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 21%

24%

18%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

12%

41%

Both score Ø 42%

24%

59%

Average goals

1,3

2,4

Scored

0,5

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Santander 18. · Lugo 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	18	9	7	2	+12	34
2	Alaves	18	9	7	2	+6	34
3	Burgos	17	8	7	2	+9	31
4	Cartagena	18	9	4	5	+6	31
5	Granada	18	8	4	6	+9	28
6	Levante	17	7	7	3	+6	28
7	Andorra	18	8	3	7	+6	27
8	Eibar	17	7	6	4	+4	27
9	Leganes	18	7	4	7	+1	25
10	Albacete	18	6	7	5	-3	25
11	Huesca	17	6	6	5	+2	24
12	Villarreal B	18	6	6	6	-2	24
13	Sp Gijon	18	5	8	5	+0	23
14	Oviedo	18	6	5	7	-2	23
15	Zaragoza	18	5	6	7	-3	21
16	Tenerife	18	5	5	8	-3	20
17	Mirandes	18	4	7	7	-4	19
18	Santander	17	4	6	7	-4	18
19	Ponferradina	17	4	5	8	-8	17
20	Lugo	17	3	6	8	-8	15
21	Malaga	17	3	5	9	-9	14
22	Ibiza	18	3	3	12	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Alaves	9	6	3	0	+8	21
3	Villarreal B	9	5	4	0	+8	19
4	Eibar	8	5	3	0	+8	18
5	Burgos	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Huesca	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Las Palmas	9	5	3	1	+6	18
8	Cartagena	9	5	2	2	+4	17
9	Leganes	9	5	2	2	+3	17
10	Mirandes	10	4	4	2	+3	16
11	Andorra	9	5	0	4	+8	15
12	Sp Gijon	9	4	3	2	+5	15
13	Tenerife	9	4	3	2	+4	15
14	Levante	8	4	2	2	+5	14
15	Albacete	9	3	4	2	+1	13
16	Zaragoza	9	3	4	2	+0	13
17	Oviedo	9	4	1	4	-1	13
18	Lugo	9	2	4	3	+0	10
19	Ponferradina	8	2	3	3	-2	9
20	Malaga	8	2	3	3	-4	9
21	Ibiza	9	2	2	5	-5	8
22	Santander	8	1	4	3	-3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	9	4	4	1	+6	16
2	Cartagena	9	4	2	3	+2	14
3	Levante	9	3	5	1	+1	14
4	Burgos	8	3	4	1	+2	13
5	Alaves	9	3	4	2	-2	13
6	Andorra	9	3	3	3	-2	12
7	Albacete	9	3	3	3	-4	12
8	Santander	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Oviedo	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Leganes	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Zaragoza	9	2	2	5	-3	8
13	Sp Gijon	9	1	5	3	-5	8
14	Ponferradina	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Huesca	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Malaga	9	1	2	6	-5	5
17	Tenerife	9	1	2	6	-7	5
18	Lugo	8	1	2	5	-8	5
19	Granada	9	1	2	6	-9	5
20	Villarreal B	9	1	2	6	-10	5
21	Ibiza	9	1	1	7	-10	4
22	Mirandes	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.